this post was submitted on 16 Jun 2025
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Image is of destruction and damage inside Israel, sourced from this article.


Iran and Israel have struck each other many times over the last few days. There has been a general focus on military facilities and headquarters by both sides, though Israel has also struck oil facilities, civilian structures and hospitals, and in return for this, Iran has struck major scientific centers and the Haifa oil facilities.

Israel appears to have three main aims. First, to collapse the Iranian state, either through shock and breakdown by killing enough senior officials, or via some sort of internal military coup. Second, to try and destroy Iranian nuclear sites and underground missile cities, or at least to paralyze them long enough to achieve the first and third goals. And third, to bring the US into a direct conflict with Iran. This is because the US better equipped to fight them than Israel is (though victory would still not be guaranteed depending on what Iran chooses to do).

Iranian nuclear facilities are hidden deep underground (800 meters), far beyond the depth range of even the most powerful bunker busters (~70 meters or so), and built such that the visible ground entrances are horizontally far away in an unknown direction from the actual underground chambers. Only an extremely competent full-scale American bombing force all simultaneously using multiple of the most powerful conventional (perhaps even nuclear) bunker busters could even hypothetically hope to breach them (and we have seen how, in practice, American bunker busters have largely failed to impair or deter Ansarallah). There are several analysts on both sides who have concluded that it is entirely impossible to physically prevent Iran from building nukes.

I fully expect the US to join the war. I believe the current ambiguity is a deliberate invention of the US while they work to move their military assets into position, and as soon as they are ready, the US will start bombing Iran. After that, Iran's leadership must - if they haven't already - harden their hearts, and strike back with no fear, or risk following the path of Libya, Syria, and Iraq, either into either surrender, occupation, or annihilation. Every day where they do not possess a nuke is a day where lives are being lost and cities are being bombed.


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Israel-Palestine Conflict

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Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
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English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 13 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

You were making conspiracy theories that Biden/Ukraine were desperate so they would nuke/false flag the Paris Olympics.

Biden already destroyed Gaza, there is nothing left, we knew this by October, frankly after 6 months even. The only "pro-Trump" argument was he could be a wildcard while Biden is a known quantity. He pretty much began the genocide, calls himself proudly the biggest Zionist etc. How on earth would Kamala be better?

Like jesus did you miss when she literaly shunned away the pro-palestinian protesters? Arguing for tactical Kamala voting is stupid when she already crossed the Zionist line. Did you think Kamala got the nomination because she was different? Holy shit the rich Dems only got embarrassed because Joe was about to either shit his pants or have a heart attack on live TV.

For us with little hope left a wildcard choice on 100% Hitler is still better hope than the known quantity continuation of the genocide from 99% Hitler. There ought to be no prizes for saying 100% Hitler can do some things worse, so what? As far as Gaza is concerned their fate was sealed if the status quo remained.

It seems you just didn't read the room. This mega culture constantly struggles against doomerism that is why we don't say the obvious shit. Do you need to be constantly reminded Gaza's genocide was far more likely to succeed than not? That there is no hope beyond some savior complex from China or Russia?

If you noticed that absence of such comments during the election as a confirmation that perhaps Biden could be a better choice you completely missed... everything.

And just for argument sake if China weren't cowardly shits we could be having a real economic fight right now over the Trump tariffs, Trump gave us the opportunity to make the US weaker and "we" didn't take it. Now we shall pay the price for that choice? Nah Biden was better trust lol.

[–] xiaohongshu@hexbear.net 4 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

You were making conspiracy theories that Biden/Ukraine were desperate so they would nuke/false flag the Paris Olympics.

I said that it is not out of possibility that strategy of tension will be brought back to Europe to ensure US dominance over the region. Gladio was a very real conspiracy that only went away with the formation of the EU following the fall of the USSR in the 1990s. Now that the EU is fragmenting we should not be surprised to see a new Gladio reemerging in Europe.

I swear that people forget Europe wasn’t always as peaceful as it appears today when you look at the 1960s-80s. I highly recommend looking up the history of Gladio if you think what I said was crazy.

Trump gave us the opportunity to make the US weaker and "we" didn't take it.

Trump didn’t make the US weak, at least not yet so far. The US weakness was fully exposed at the start of the Ukraine war under Biden, when the Fed hiked interest rates in response to the inflation caused by disruption of oil and supply chain (and amplified by the pandemic just before that).

That window of opportunity had already passed and none of Trump’s second term policies even approached exposing the weakness of the US like Biden’s policies did back in 2022. If anything, Trump is only allowed to enact his absurd policies precisely because none of the countries seriously challenged US hegemony following the Ukraine war, and the US has quite correctly calculated that China does not have the incentives to jeopardize the dollar hegemony.

Like, I remind you that many countries were genuinely looking to flee the dollar zone months immediately after the US confiscated $300 billion of Russia’s dollar reserves. Few countries are going to do that today - the global tariffs simply aren’t a strong incentive for the countries to leave the dollar zone. After all, if you’re an exporting country, who else are you going to sell to?

[–] BynarsAreOk@hexbear.net 2 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

I think the major problem here is you take the mainstream econ theory as truth and validation that you're correct. Just because everyone and their mother repeats the consumption narrative you think that it is correct even though its not.

China has been retreating on the Biden negotiation since late 2023. I mentioned many times, Yellen and Blinken went to China to force the issue that China needed to solve their trade imbalance. The CPC folded and started doing consumption stimulus shit because it is what their mainstream neolib advisors taught them. All of what we the supposed "Marxists" say about building industry suddenly becomes moot because western educated "economists" say otherwise.

I'll give you a very specific example, here this page compiled some of these Western economists saying the exact stuff you repeat here. These are some of the economists pushing exactly for this.

YAO Yang Ph.D., Agricultural and Applied Economics, University of Wisconsin-Madison, 1996. Major: Economic Development.

Professor Li holds a Ph.D. in economics from Harvard University. In 1985, he obtained his BS from Tsinghua University as one of the first undergraduate class of the School of Economics and Management, where he is serving as a faculty member.

Dr. Feng Lu - Ph.D. in Economics, University of Leeds, UK, 1994

Here is what one of them admit to

Some European think tanks have expressed concerns about China. They worry that, under the pressure of U.S. tariffs leading to a reshaped global trade structure and the gradual closure of the U.S. market, China’s surplus capacity products may flood into other countries and regions, putting pressure on Europe, Asia, and South America, making it harder for them to survive. This concern is somewhat reasonable, and it can even be inferred that if China continues to follow an export-oriented manufacturing model dominated by the supply side, countries across Eurasia may follow the U.S.’s lead and introduce trade protectionist policies, ultimately resulting in a fragmented global trade environment similar to the pre-World War II period. This would significantly increase China’s difficulty in expanding its geopolitical space. In contrast, implementing the “Two 30” major strategy would be a more feasible path.

Achieving the target of increasing domestic consumption by 30% by 2030 is both achievable and idealistic, making it a grand strategy. Drawing on the experience of European and American countries in the thirty years after World War II, these nations accelerated their transition to domestic demand-driven, service-based economies by strengthening social security, improving labor education levels, enhancing public services, and reinforcing innovation. When facing U.S. tariff bullying, many believe that the U.S., as the largest global consumer market, is in a dominant position, and other countries, as suppliers, must accept changes to the rules or risk losing out. However, this view is outdated. Historically, the evolution of economic entities and strategic decisions shows that the positions of parties A and B are not fixed. With China’s increasing income levels, changes in development concepts, demographic shifts, and technological advancements, if the decision-makers can implement reforms to strengthen social security, improve workers’ education, build public welfare, and perfect social security for migrant workers, farmers, and flexible workers, China could accelerate its transition to a domestic demand-driven economy, rather than merely positioning itself as a supplier.

Can you spot the mistake here? This quote doesn't understand the only reason Europe grew post WW2 was exactly due to its destruction. European capital had a brief moment of very high profitability because Europe had been temporarily de-industrialized.

Likewise there is absolutely zero acknowledgement that the only reason the EU can become a "domestic driven, service-based economy" is literaly because of Western imperialism. Without this benefit this is not possible.

Yet they literaly admit to idealistic plans to turning China into Europe 2.0 based "on the same experience".

This is despicable garbage.

You keep repeating this here on the megas for months as "this is what China needs to do" etc. I tried arguing against it a few times but it is a pointless endeavour to keep repeating stuff. Let the people who go to a "Marxist-socialist" site embrace the comments supporting neoliberal-keynesian off brand that come directly from the mouth of western educated economists if they want was my conclusion.

Now the Trump tariffs was the first time since then that China could have hit back decisively and force concessions out of the US. Instead they're the ones who conceded to the tariff hike.

In an alternative world the CPC wasn't clueless and didn't just follow western educated financial advisors, they would not have folded on the overcapacity issue and Trump would not have any way to force his tariff shit because China would have already told Biden/Yellen/Blinken to eat shit.

[–] HexReplyBot@hexbear.net 1 points 17 hours ago

I found a YouTube link in your comment. Here are links to the same video on alternative frontends that protect your privacy: