this post was submitted on 28 Feb 2025
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Politics
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This largely relies on Europe getting its shit together in the face of a sudden trans-Atlantic shift. The resources are there; the question is the timeline. Everyone's scrambling to figure out what NATO actually is, which provides this wedge.
@Powderhorn I think the incentive is there. The new chancellor of Germany is very americano-sceptic (given the current situation) and I do not think France will stand aside. Denmark is facing a possible future aggressor so it's more likely to also push for europenism and other states might follow suit as well. Right now we're caught off-guard indeed.
Have you read his bio? He is THE prototype trans-atlantic hawk, and still he looks like he is turning away from the US right now.
On the other hand, he is not elected Chancellor yet, so we won't know for sure until then. Triggering a vote of no confidence would be REALLY dangerous right now, lest the far right gain even more votes. So he kind of has this leverage against his future coalition partner.