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Harris' lead over Trump narrows to 46% vs 43%, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
(www.reuters.com)
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this post was submitted on 08 Oct 2024
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If you're wondering why her, her campaign, and DNC leadership keep pretending it's a coincidence the more conservative she becomes the worse she polls...
It's because they're all making a lot of money from donors in return for all her conservative shifts.
Presidential campaigns "cost" over a billion dollars now. That's a lot of fat to trim off for a lot of people.
And with the DNC valuing donation bundlers over any other skill, it's seems like it should be pretty obvious they care more about grifting money than getting Harris elected.
Anyone that says it takes over a billion dollars to beat trump shouldn't be running a campaign for local dog catcher. But they'll never stop trying to get more money. Instead of just trying to get more votes.
The people running the party have different goals than the voters in the party
Straight from the article:
I have a dream that one day we will be permitted to read and digest one of these articles without you feeling the compulsive need to preempt that to tell us what you think we're supposed to believe, and to steer us into one of your fever dreams about some other tangentially-related topic. Wouldn't that be lovely.
Ahhh good to know some things never change. Good old hateful racist assholes Americans being asshole Americans. I hate living here with these fucking ghouls. The only dangerous people are actual American citizens...
That's certainly one way to look at it, and around here you'll find a lot of folks are eager to pat you on the back for embracing that kind of lazy, myopic conclusion. There is, however, much more to the story:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/ng-interactive/2024/may/28/young-more-anti-immigration-than-old-in-parts-of-europe-polling-shows
https://www.paschal-law.com/blog/the-rise-of-anti-immigrant-sentiment-around-the-world/
https://www.npr.org/2024/08/27/nx-s1-5050746/rising-anti-immigrant-sentiment-in-germany-causes-concerns-in-the-countrys-business-community
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/abs/pii/S2352250X22001531
https://bpr.studentorg.berkeley.edu/2022/12/09/what-is-driving-the-rise-of-anti-immigration-sentiment-in-europe/
Given that the trend we're seeing is also prevalent in most western democracies, we're left with two distinct possibilities:
Every western democracy is half-full of racist assholes.
There's something going on that's more nuanced than naked racial animus.
Which seems more likely seems to depend a great deal on direct, lived experience, as well as education and age. It also seems to depend on the health of the broader economy. Unfortunately, pointing those factors out doesn't tend to elicit as many upvotes as claiming everyone's a flaming, degenerate racist.
Thank you for those links and insightful take. I had wondered about this myself - with your take I can see a way forward now.
That 53% of voters includes ever trump voter in the country.
So if it's every trump supporter, it's only 10% of people who aren't voting R no matter.
Republicans pander to the majority of their base. And Dems also pander to the Republican base.
It's one of the biggest and most obvious problems with our political system. When both parties keep moving right, it's obviously going to result in the country overall moving to the right.
It's really not complicated, but some people love to misrepresent it.
the Democratic chase for the centrist unicorn stuffs us all into a very cramped and increasingly hot basket.
Which is why we need to be smart.
We need to cancel the electoral votes of the South, until they sort their shit out, call it Reconstruction 2.0.
We have to fix this cancer on our nation if we ever hope to function again, and the longer we push it off, the worse the metastasis gets.
Perhaps not every single last one, but good point overall.
I would need more evidence to support the rest of this. But yeah we at least can get a better handle by filtering out those supporters - the remaining percentage is likely to be much smaller.
Actually this is not true. AOC for example, endorses Harris (as per https://www.bbc.com/news/videos/cj4xegj1jq2o ) but is definitely more liberal than Harris and not afraid to state it (see https://qz.com/aoc-mark-cuban-kamala-harris-ftc-lina-khan-billionaire-1851669012 )
Harris is in a tough spot to win the election but wait another generation or decade and I have a feeling that things are going to look very different.
...
90% sure we've went over this before...
X% of voters includes Republicans that will never vote D under any circumstances
To motivate people who will vote D. We need to focus on what they want.
Did it work this time?
Agreed, but..
This does include some moderate Republicans, think Liz Cheney. With the GOP turning the way it has - practically being a personality cult for one guy now, it makes sense that those folks who got left out would try to find a home with the Dems - and in the short term that alliance means a better chance at securing the White House.
I get the point you are trying to make. But you don't seem to understand mine. And keep in mind that this isn't the first time I've tried to explain this to you.
Speak up, laddy. We didn't hear you the first 8,900 times.
Do you want to just insult people?
Or are you willing to abide by this subs rules and have a reasonable discussion?
His comment was no more insulting than yours, IMHO.
You can still vote for someone even if you think we deserve a better candidate, I've been doing it for decades at this point...
There's no reason to insult people or act like you can't criticize the least worst option while still holding your nose and voting for them.
The majority of Dem voters shouldn't be shocked by that. We've been doing it for a long time...
I can count the people I know who wanted Biden or Hillary as president on one hand but virtually everyone i know still voted for both of them in the last two elections.
It would just be a lot easier to stop trump if we ran a candidate that Dem voters wanted to be president.
That shouldn't be a relevation either
I think there's a time and a place for criticizing our candidates. The time is during the candidate's term and in the Primaries. During the General, it's a bad time to do so. And you have to realise: You don't always get what you want. You say you want a candidate that Dem voters want to be President. The opportunity for that to happen is in the primaries. Unfortunately, the time for that has come and gone.
Biden won those primaries. The voters for the Democratic Party, who ALL get a say, put Biden up front. And people hammered Biden, including bad actors from the other party as well as from foreign countries, until Biden had no room for error. When he flubbed the first debate, we used the rules for succession, with him stepping down and his VP taking the top spot, like what would happen if he was rendered incapable of serving while he was in office.
I return to my key point. Trump or Harris are our choices today. No Third Party will win. As long as you are voting for Harris, criticise away. Just know that I will push back against any post that seems to suggest our candidate is horribad and shouldn't be voted for. Not voting for Harris means we get Trump.
You think we had a primary?
And during their term? That's like saying the best time to negotiate price is after the sale is made...
Your view only makes sense if you're operating under the assumption the candidate won't listen to any criticism or adjust their policy to align with Dem voters more and maximize their chances of winning the election.
Biden isn't the candidate anymore, Harris certainly isn't perfect but I believe she's at least willing to open a dialog with Dem voters, even after the shit that was pulled at the DNC where she did the opposite.
Dem voters aren't Republican voters, telling them to shut up and vote D depresses turnout, what improves Dem turnout is the candidate listening to voters so that they feel part of the party and more likely to support the candidate, even if the candidates position doesn't change.
It's really as easy as that to boost Dem turnout.
It's only bad for the Dem candidate if they act like a spoiled toddler who's told there's no ice cream till the vegetables are gone
Can you try again but this time not violate this subs rules?
I didn't bother reading the rest when the very first sentence is an insult
Edit:
Rule 3 in case you can't see the sidebar:
I just called you unreasonable. We'll see if the mods think that's a violation of the TOS. Have a nice life, either way.
"Unreasonable" isn't pejorative.
"Fucking unreasonable" would be removed.
Then why was the comment removed?
Not sure, I left it.
It's literally right there...
By your own admission:
That's against civility rules.
But what I said still stands, if you try again without the civility breaking parts, I'm willing to spend some time to help you understand.
Okay, so worth asking: how can we win with a different hypothetical candidate who appeals to Dems only but not moderate Republicans? Keeping in mind that individuals in smaller states like in the midwest have more voting power per person and also that the makeup of the Electoral College is such that the GOP has an advantage?
I do recall this in being a factor, it was thought that the GOP couldn't prevent that guy from winning the nomination in 2016 while the DNC had the power to annoint Clinton over Sanders.
Yes. Citizens United. At least the DNC is able to match the GOP here though.
That's not obvious at all. Alternative view: they're just trying to outspend the GOP in the hopes that this get Harris elected.
Again, not at all obvious.
Of course that's not it! The question is, if the GOP has a billion dollar lead over Harris, can the GOP prevail over Harris?
Maybe not, but, why take that chance?
I mean they're trying to use the money to spread outreach and engagement (which hopefully turns into legitimate votes for Harris). I understand the frustration with the overall system but ultimately this is all for the goal of getting more to turn out for Harris.