yogthos

It's hard to say. I don't think anybody expected 1930s style fascism before it got into motion either. These things can take on a life of their own very quickly. What we'll see is that repression is going to increase in response to public discontent. We already see this happening both in the US and the EU. We're seeing militarization of police, mass surveillance, bans on political speech, widespread censorship, and so on. All of that will continue to be cranked up, and that's how you end up with full blown fascism in the end. The US is just at the start of the road, it's going to keep getting worse with each and every year. Europe is sure to follow.

seems plausible

The key value here is in being able to navigate relationships visually, especially cross disciplinary ones. It's a tool that helps with exploration and finding relationships that would be difficult to spot otherwise. I find it particularly interesting when research from different fields ends up finding convergent approaches, or a trick that's been developed in one disciple ends up being applied in a different context. This is a great example where researchers applied algorithms used in cosmology to optimizing neural networks https://arxiv.org/abs/2209.02685

Being able to explore research across different fields in a single data set will help surface a lot of tricks that can be applied in new contexts.

I'm sure somebody waited a long time to write that headline

I can't argue with that, the biggest worry is that the empire will just decide to go out with a bang and start a nuclear holocaust. My hope is that the oligarchs would rather rule over a diminished empire than live the rest of their lives out in a bunker like rats.

lmao yeah that's a feature

Personally, I expect that things will keep getting worse in the west for a while yet. And material conditions for the vassals will be worse than in the core because the US will be sucking the life out of Europe, Japan, and occupied Korea to prop up its own economy. We're already seeing this happening with the "deals" that Trump rammed through. That all might lead to revolutionary conditions, but seems like that's quite far away at this point. Naked fascism seems like the most likely next stage to me.

I'd argue more broadly we can be sure that the west has now entered terminal decline, and we're going to see a geopolitical realignment towards China going forward. There might be dying gasps like an attack on Venezuela or Iran, but none of that is going to arrest the decline or reverse it.

I don't see how that works just from material perspective alone. Russia is singlehandedly outproducing all of NATO militarily. China has orders of magnitude bigger industry. We've also seen that the west is entirely dependent on critical inputs from China like rare earths without which all high tech manufacturing here stops, including military production. Finally, Both Russia and China are nuclear superpowers, so any direct conflict would be suicidal.

I mean once you zero in on a particular paper of interest, then you can always find the full version.

it's a real spectacle

Exactly, the public now knows they're getting fucked, and they are angry.