Yeah, I appreciate the nuance too! It's just I don't have anything to really add as I'm the one who misread!

I appreciate the effort, but I was not critiquing your reading. Moreso that I took it differently. That's just a misread on my part and my point was not about general investing as a proxy for progress/a driver.

Perhaps we're talking to different points. Parent comment said that investors are always looking for better and better returns. You said that's how progress works. This sentiment is was my quibble.

I took the "investors are always looking for better returns" to mean "unethically so" and was more talking about what happens long term. Reading your above I think you might have been talking about good faith.

In a sound system that's how things work, sure! The company gets investment into tech and continue to improve and the investors get to enjoy the progress's returns.

You're conflating creating dollar value with progress. Yes the technology moves the total net productivity of humankind forward.

Investing exists because we want to incentive that. Currently you and the thread above are describing bad actors coming in, seeing this small single digit productivity increase and misrepresenting it so that other investors buy in. Then dipping and causing the bubble to burst.

Something isn't a 'good' investment just because it makes you 600% return. I could go rob someone if I wanted that return. Hell even if then killed that person by accident the net negative to human productivity would be less.

These bubbles unsettle homes, jobs, markets, and educations. Inefficiency that makes money for anyone in the stock market should have been crushed out.

I agree, however as much as I wish our governments would do both - they won't. At least not This is why I said we should be playing money ball. I don't disagree with anything you said.

I think the additionallity to the grid as these renewables come online is great...but if they only cover the energy to run them then they're not expanding the grid for everyone else. This emissions continue. I agree it incentvizes renewable builds but only if it powers more of the grid vs just being dedicated to the wells.

We're headed towards a world where corps are incentvizes to buy up all the clean energy on the market and leave consumers with the fossile fuels right now. We just don't have enough clean or renewable energy to power everything and demand is only increasing.

Agreed! I was just mentioning the only negative angle I could see, still a net positive!

These all align with my understanding! Only thing I'd mention is that when I said "we've not had llms available" I meant "LLMs this powerful ready for public usage". My b

I haven't been in decision analytics for a while (and people smarter than I are working on the problem) but I meant more along the lines of the "model collapse" issue. Just because a human gives a thumbs up or down doesn't make it human written training data to be fed back. Eventually the stuff it outputs becomes "most likely prompt response that this user will thumbs up and accept". (Note: I'm assuming the thumbs up or down have been pulled back into model feedback).

Per my understanding that's not going to remove the core issue which is this:

Any sort of AI detection arms race is doomed. There is ALWAYS new 'real' video for training and even if GANs are a bit outmoded, the core concept of using synthetically generated content to train is a hot thing right now. Technically whomever creates a fake video(s) to train would have a bigger training set than the checkers.

Since we see model collapse when we feed too much of this back to the model we're in a bit of an odd place.

We've not even had a LLM available for the entire year but we're already having trouble distinguishing.

Making waffles so I only did a light google but I don't really think chatgpt is leveraging GANs for it's main algos, simply that the GAN concept could be applied easily to LLM text to further make delineation hard.

We're probably going to need a lot more tests and interviews on critical reasoning and logic skills. Which is probably how it should have been but it'll be weird as that happens.

sorry if grammar is fuckt - waffles

This is a bit dated but shows that 41% of road upkeep on average is paid for by gas taxes (and other fees). So yes while they may have some tax paid on fuel (that they have likely negotiated down via bulk purchase), they're not even paying for half on average.

Edit - just to include given we've seen landmark inflation over the last few years it's likely the share of taxes on upkeep has gone down.

It'd be an uphill battle but if someone got into programming via free online courses they could build a resume via collaborating with projects on github. It'd be a way to prove skill without the diploma.

Advice goes the same for anything where you can build a portfolio to demonstrate competency, most people in industries just care about results. This could be photography, graphic design, a physical labor like wood working etc.

Sucks because you'd have to outlay time upfront before maybe getting payed though. Ymmv

I'm not sure if links are allowed here? I have no affiliation but if you Google the maker Battery-Free Ganz you'll find their website.

It's a bigger brother imo, double the length, wood stem, and larger bowl. Def needs a bigger torch though