this post was submitted on 17 Feb 2026
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While we don’t know whether Trump will decide to attack Iran, these are exactly the movements we’ve been expecting, but so far not seeing, in advance of a sustained operation, both defensive and offensive.

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[–] KuroiKaze@lemmy.world 14 points 19 hours ago

You'll know it's definitely going to happen when a single account on poly market takes out a bet for like $200,000

[–] MonkeMischief@lemmy.today 6 points 16 hours ago

I just wanted to have my nice little family and get old making fuggin video games. But none of us get to study or pursue shit that isn't mere survival anymore. That's for the established "creative class" as they get relentlessly attacked by AI.

Instead we're all on a steady firehose cortisol diet of "How's this asshole ruined so many more lives in the last thirty minutes? Oh they're attacking random countries why now? What's happening with my groceries? Long standing institutions eroded? The nazis are back and my neighbors are cool with it? OH nuke posturing is back on the table huh? Duck and cover amirite?"

WHY. The entire top leadership in the world's major power centers could have just fucked off, retired fat and happy, or did us all a favor and nourished some mycelium, and we'd all have been FINE! Quite HAPPY, EVEN.

They're so stupidly rich their only remaining motivation is to go down in history as infamous villains. There's nothing left for them to pursue but sheer evil for evil's sake.

I'm so damn sad, man. I'm not giving up I'm just having a little crashout.

[–] Sunflier@lemmy.world 2 points 15 hours ago* (last edited 15 hours ago)

He going to seek a declaration of war? Nah . . .. Of course not! He'll drag us into this and bog us down for a generation.

I have a sneaking suspicion on how this will play out. He'll topple Iran on his own. Then a sleeper cell will retaliate (or maybe he'll fake one). Then when an attack happens here, he'll get his emergency stuff that he's been itching for to end democracy (Can't vote him out if emergency prevents voting). Basically, what he was planning on for the Minnesota stuff. But since that didn't work out, he'll have to invent his own emergency.

[–] GreenShimada@lemmy.world 15 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Feckless Wonder will edge this for a year.

Troops deployed in the holding pattern spots should buy condos and save money.

[–] supersquirrel@sopuli.xyz 8 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

I hope you are right but all indicators as far as I am concerned point to war, and it happening soon.

[–] GreenShimada@lemmy.world 4 points 17 hours ago

No, me being right is not better.

Look at how this dipshit operates - everything is about exerting pressure for performative leverage. Under no circumstances does he just get the job done, let alone get the job done quickly or with precision.

Build up will sit there accumulating massive costs and risk for a year, goading and destabilizing. Which, to be fair, THAT is a valid tactic. But only when you know that the people you're goading can't drop a single nuke on all your built up forces and wipe them out.

[–] P00ptart@lemmy.world 3 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

It's already been decided because Iran is not popular in the US. Neither is trump. Trump bombs Iran into oblivion to look like the lesser of two evils.

[–] CmdrShepard49@sh.itjust.works 3 points 19 hours ago (1 children)

Prolonged wars in the middle east aren't popular either as we only very recently ended two of them, but this administration has no imagination and is just copying what W Bush did.

I agree it has already been decided as we're seeing the very same manufactured consent in the media as we did before Iraq and Afghanistan, and Democrats are always willing to jump on board with whatever the Republicans want, so there isn't really anyone around to stop it from happening.

[–] P00ptart@lemmy.world 4 points 18 hours ago

An easy win against an unpopular country will get you at least 4% approval rating Mr trump.

It just feels a lot like the boys.

[–] cygnus@lemmy.ca -1 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (2 children)

Agreed, this US attack on Iran is not going to happen. The best guarantee of this is that Russia won't want it to.

[–] GreenShimada@lemmy.world 1 points 17 hours ago

No, I never said not going to happen. I'm saying it will be a year of sitting right there as a persistent threat to try and get something (what, exactly, no one knows, because WTF knows what this idiot thinks). Then, just like Putin, he can't have a build up and then just take his toys and go home. So you'll get a $1 trillion in debt every 30 days (right now it's 100 days) to once again hold a huge ad hoc military base in the Middle East for a while, then finally go in one day.

[–] supersquirrel@sopuli.xyz 5 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago) (1 children)

I think russia would love a distraction from the embarassing mess their military has become at the frontline.

It is all about convincing stupid americans that it is inveitable that russia will win so Ukraine can be forced into unfavorable peace conditions where territory can be handed over to russia that would take russia years and years for them to take by force if they even could.

The less bandwidth world news has to cover how much russia is falling apart militarily, the easier it is for russia to maintain the illusion of overpowering strength.

[–] cygnus@lemmy.ca 2 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

Sacrificing their only remaining ME ally is definitely not worth a transient distraction in the news. Losing Syria was a huge blow for them.

[–] HowRu68@lemmy.world 9 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

And US has send a second aircraft carrier group to Middle East. What will he do, 1 and 1 makes two.