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submitted 3 days ago* (last edited 3 days ago) by SeventyTwoTrillion@hexbear.net to c/news@hexbear.net

Image is from this SCMP article.

Much of the analysis below is sourced from Michael Roberts' great website.


Japan's ruling parliamentary coalition, consisting of the LDP (purple) and it's junior coalition partner Komeito (in light pink) have lost their ruling majority. They have ruled post-war Japan for almost its entire history. The LDP is currently led by Shigeru Ishiba after Kishida stood down due to a corruption scandal, and ties to the Unification Church.

While geopolitical factors (over the cold war between the US and China, etc) may have played a role, by far the biggest reason for this result in the poor economic conditions over the past few years. Inflation has risen and real wages have fallen, with little relief for the working class via things like tax reductions. While inequality in Japan is not as extreme as in America, it is still profound, with the top 10% possessing 60% of the wealth, while the bottom 50% possess just 5%.

Shinzo Abe previously tried to boost economic performance through monetary easing and fiscal deficits, while Kishida ran on a "new capitalism" which rejected Abe's neoliberalism and promised to reduce inequality. Nothing substantial has resulted from all this, however, other than increasing corporate wealth. Innovation continues to fall, and domestic profitability is low, resulting in decreasing investment at home by Japanese corporations. Labour productivity growth has only slightly picked up since the mid-2000s and is falling again. The rate of profit has fallen by half since the 1960s, and Japan has been in a manufacturing recession - or very close to it - since late 2022. In essence: there is no choice but between stagnation or decline.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

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Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[-] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 45 points 9 hours ago

The US election really is wild. Going off polling data it looks like Kamala wins with a close electoral victory if the Dems over perform again like they did for the midterms. If it goes exactly like the polls then Trump wins with a healthy lead.

[-] EnsignRedshirt@hexbear.net 45 points 8 hours ago

There’a a very real possibility of a 269-269 goblin mode electoral college. It’s the best.

[-] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 31 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago)

that would be so cool I hope it happens, it's like scorigami but the only combination that could drive a party to abolish the electoral college

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[-] Parzivus@hexbear.net 57 points 9 hours ago

least racist American soldier

Source

[-] VILenin@hexbear.net 42 points 8 hours ago

Hey quick question, which side was the one that scurried like rats at the first sign of real fighting? I don’t think it was the “Houthis”.

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[-] companero@hexbear.net 43 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

(Week-old news) AP: One of 3 judges weighing request for ICC arrest warrants against Netanyahu and others is replaced

The decision is likely to further delay a decision on the request by the court’s chief prosecutor, Karim Khan.

I saw the sexual misconduct allegations against Khan, but somehow I missed this story.

Anyway, it's now 164 days since Karim Khan requested arrest warrants for Netanyahu and Gallant. Reminder that it took just 23 days to issue Putin's warrant (for putting injured kids in hospitals).

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[-] QuillcrestFalconer@hexbear.net 83 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

Jesus christ, bill Clinton gave an incredibly pro genocide speech

Edit:

How many civilians should Israel kill? “I am sorry but we are not keeping score that way.”

He literally did the Hexbear post

[-] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 29 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago)

Link?

also he killed more kids from forcing a famine on Iraq alone than probably the entire death toll in Gaza so far

[-] mkultrawide@hexbear.net 40 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

Obama didn't work so they brought out Clinton. That isn't going to work either. Do you think they drag Bush out to Dearborn to tell Arabs/Muslims they have to suck it up?

[-] Frogmanfromlake@hexbear.net 24 points 9 hours ago

Dems are stuck in the past and think people are still going to give goo goo eyes over Obama and Bill like it’s 1992 and 2008 still. The polls even show that Kamala currently has the lead there

[-] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 22 points 9 hours ago

The frightening thing is that it may work amerikkka

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[-] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 55 points 10 hours ago

Eight of the eleven justices of Mexico's Supreme Court of Justice have resigned from their posts on the body. The decision comes after the approval of the Judicial Reform Law, which established direct elections for the country's judiciary. The information was confirmed by the country's Senate.

[-] Coolkidbozzy@hexbear.net 24 points 8 hours ago

HAHAHHAAHA I can't tell what the ideological makeup of the supreme court was, but this is the best thing that could possibly happen to a leftist political party with no chance of a coup, right?

[-] EnsignRedshirt@hexbear.net 31 points 9 hours ago

If they were really supreme court justices they would have made the law illegal. Imagine trying to tell the SCOTUS that they’re beholden to the legislature.

[-] Halloweenbean@hexbear.net 30 points 9 hours ago

The remaining two need to start ruling some wild shit.

[-] Halloweenbean@hexbear.net 28 points 9 hours ago

If France attempted to attack Algeria, who would they attempt to set up as puppet rulers? There will be consequences for Western Sahara being thrown under the bus.

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Some news from the Donbass.

Russian forces liberated Kurakhovka, a Donetsk People’s Republic town south of Gornyak: https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/kurakhovka.mp4?_=4

Russian forces liberated Novoukrainka, a DPR settlement northwest of Ugledar: https://s5.cdnstatic.space/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/Novoukrainka.mp4?_=2

Russian forces captured an undamaged, US-built M1A1 “Abrams” tank in the DPR: https://news-pravda.com/world/2024/10/31/818544.html

Anti-fascist partisans burned a Kiev regime Mi-2 helicopter: https://odysee.com/@Support4Z:b/%F0%9F%93%BD%EF%B8%8F-A-%F0%9F%87%AC%F0%9F%87%A7-%F0%9F%87%AB%F0%9F%87%B7,-Our-Partisan-Brothers-in-Ukraine-move-on-to-helicopters!:3

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[-] glans@hexbear.net 36 points 10 hours ago

footnote situation in "Report of the Special Rapporteur on the situation of human rights in the Palestinian territories occupied since 1967, Francesca Albanese - Genocide as colonial erasure"

purple is footnotes in the image

307 footnotes in a 32 page document

from: Francesca Albanese, UN Special Rapporteur on the Occupied Palestinian Territory, meets the press

[-] plinky@hexbear.net 48 points 11 hours ago

https://xcancel.com/DurrutiRiot/status/1852088701049872713

video showing clashes of striking greek firefighters and piggies.

[-] someone@hexbear.net 27 points 11 hours ago

Nobody ever wrong a song entitled "Fuck the firefighters".

[-] FALGSConaut@hexbear.net 22 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 10 hours ago)

I say fuck the firefighters panting pingu-horny

[-] Halloweenbean@hexbear.net 11 points 9 hours ago

This was an American Dad bit.

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[-] Aru@lemmygrad.ml 45 points 11 hours ago

Algerian Presidency: The Head of State of the Democratic People's Republic of Korea, Mr. Kim Jong-un, sent his congratulations to the President of the Republic, Mr. Abdelmadjid Tebboune, on the occasion of the seventieth anniversary of the outbreak of the liberation revolution, expressing on the same occasion his full conviction of further growth and development of the friendly and cooperative relations between the two countries.

[-] Parzivus@hexbear.net 75 points 13 hours ago
[-] Dolores@hexbear.net 69 points 12 hours ago

under Biden-appointed U.S. Archivist Colleen Shogan

can you feeeeeeeeel the harm being reduced

[-] VHS@hexbear.net 53 points 12 hours ago

Democrat officials sure love doing fascism

[-] combat_brandonism@hexbear.net 39 points 12 hours ago

lmao the lib editorializing in that reporting is hard to wade through

Here we see an example of Republicans “working the ref.”

The fuck is this, 2009? This has happened for decades at this point, casting the blue team bureaucrats as these hapless NPCs driven to reactionary policies by those crafty conservatives is such a stale take. Eventually you gotta grant them agency for the shit they're doing.

oh it's NJR. of course it is.

[-] miz@hexbear.net 27 points 12 hours ago

Here we see an example of a fancy lad who is fifteen years behind the curve

[-] someone@hexbear.net 47 points 12 hours ago

Electoral politics meets rocket test flights!

Two years ago, NASA launched it's Lockheed-Martin built Orion spacecraft in an uncrewed test flight around the Moon and back to Earth on the mission named Artemis I launched on the first SLS rocket flight. SLS's prime contractor is Boeing. SLS was designed to re-use as much Space Shuttle technology as possible so that the defence contractors involved could pad their profit margins and not have to spend much on R&D of new technology.

The Orion heat shield uses an Apollo-era technology called AVCOAT. NASA thought it was a safe choice because it worked fine for all the Apollo missions despite a newer, better material called PICA being available. PICA has been used for almost 20 years on some of the most demanding missions with the highest re-entry speeds. Basically if you want to get back to Earth safely and you have your choice of heat shield material, you want a variant of PICA. It's as safe and proven as space technology can get.

Well, it turns out that the AVCOAT heat shield didn't burn away evenly and cleanly like on Apollo, because while the chemistry is the same, they applied it in a different way. The first test flight's capsule had great big chunks missing from the heat shield. That Orion capsule did splash down intact out of pure dumb luck, but those missing chunks sparked an independent review because they are a potential crew-killer. Missing chunks out of a heat shield killed the space shuttle Columbia's crew.

So here's where the politics comes in!

NASA has announced that they know what the problem is, but they're not going to announce what the problem is before the end of the year. And the person who made that decision is Administrator Bill Nelson, a career politician and loyal lifelong ally to Joe Biden.

Orion is an overweight pig of a ship, deliberately so. Right now the only production rocket can that lift it around the moon is Boeing's massively expensive SLS. SLS works but it's ridiculously expensive at an estimated $4 billion per flight. NASA claims less, but independent government audits put it at about $4 billion factoring in all ground support costs and averaging the R&D costs on top of direct hardware costs. There's about an 18-month production time per rocket minimum. And SLS only exists to lift Orion. Cancel one and you cancel the other. They were designed in lockstep with each other so that the US senate could spend as much as possible on local subcontractors for personal political gain.

Artemis II is to be the first crewed Artemis flight, doing orbits around the Moon and testing systems and procedures before coming back, like Apollo 8. Artemis III is to be the first crewed landing using a variant of SpaceX's Starship called HLS. Artemis III's HLS landing vehicle is to launch uncrewed, with an Orion capsule acting as the taxi to get astronauts to it and as their return vehicle to come back to Earth. Artemis II's hardware is nearly ready to fly, including that AVCOAT heat shield. But the heat shield debacle has put it all on hold.

Even though NASA knows the fix, they'll have to test that fix. Which means another test flight of SLS. Which means building another SLS rocket, and building another Orion capsule. That could put the additional test flight cost over $5 billion minimum. Plus years of delays for the first crewed mission as they need to build another rocket and capsule. So the scuttlebutt is that Bill Nelson, as a personal favour to Biden, is deliberately withholding the expensive bad news from public release until after the election.

More fun facts! The Orion program has cost, in 2024 inflation-adjusted dollars, about $30 billion without a single successful test flight, let alone any crew flights. And SLS has cost about $26 billion with a single successful test flight. And this is all because the US senate, who keep an iron grip on NASA pursestrings, wanted both programs to be as expensive as possible so that they're as profitable as possible for their defence contractor friends.

[-] hotcouchguy@hexbear.net 4 points 6 hours ago

I will honestly be surprised if the US ever again sends anyone farther than LEO.

[-] footfaults@hexbear.net 7 points 7 hours ago

because while the chemistry is the same, they applied it in a different way

This shit is why I hate engineering. It's always fucking something

[-] miz@hexbear.net 47 points 12 hours ago

depersonalizing while staring at the "KAMALA HARRIS FOR THE PEOPLE" bumper sticker on the Tesla in front of me

more like KAMALA HARRIS FOR KEEPING INNOCENT PEOPLE IN PRISON TO EXPLOIT THEIR LABOR LEFTIST MEME DOT JPEG

[-] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 94 points 14 hours ago

Ansarallah says do not vote for Trump or Harris:
https://xcancel.com/Seamus_Malek/status/1851871758200246345

"Trump's danger is not limited to the outside world, but also to America itself, and he may be the cause of its destruction, but it is not appropriate for the Muslims of America to embrace his election so that they are not the deciding vote for his victory. It is preferable for them to abstain from voting for either candidate because both of them are linked to destructive projects for humanity, whether they are bloody or contrary to nature."

[-] Parzivus@hexbear.net 74 points 13 hours ago

Me when Ansarallah tells me to do something I was gonna do anyway rat-salute-2

[-] FunkyStuff@hexbear.net 49 points 13 hours ago

I am their strongest soldier fr

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this post was submitted on 28 Oct 2024
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