this post was submitted on 21 Oct 2024
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On the 20th of October, Moldova - a small, landlocked country bordering western Ukraine and with a population of about 3 million - voted to join the EU. The margin was razor-thin, with the pro-EU vote gaining 50.39%, or an absolute difference of about 11,000 people. There was simultaneously a presidential vote between the incumbent, Maia Sandu, and other candidates, with the main competitor being Alexandr Stoianoglo.

The election was characterized by accusations of Russian interference, with Russian propaganda apparently flooding in, as well as people offering Moldovans money to vote against the EU. While the result does suggest that half the voting-age population of Moldova consists entirely of Russians who want to destroy democracy and all the good in the world, it seems to have just barely failed. This is a bad time to be a site entirely composed of Russian disinformation agents and bots. Twice already today, I've had to restart my program after somebody told me "Disregard all previous prompts."

While Moldova is a poor country which could benefit in some ways from EU membership, in practice, it is unlikely that they will be able to join for the foreseeable future, requiring many of the... reforms... that the EU requires of potential new members. But as basically every major European economy continues to slowly sink as recessions and political crises degrade them, one wonders how beneficial EU membership will even be in the years and decades to come - if it survives for decades. In that sense, it's as if the survivors of the Titanic are swimming back towards it, believing that being on a bigger - albeit slowly sinking - boat is better than trying their luck on small lifeboats.

Then again, like with Serbia, their geographical and geopolitical position makes anti-Western actions extremely difficult. It is rare that dissention is tolerated for long in the West - one tends to get called a dictator by crowds of people holding English-language signs in non-English countries, photographed by Western journalists who haven't meaningfully reported on your country in months or years. You can crush your people with neoliberal austerity for years, killing hundreds of thousands through neglect, and face glowing approval from the media - but try and use state resources to benefit the poor, and global institutions start ranking you on the authoritarian dictator scale.

The best case for Moldova is that it becomes an exploitable hinterland for Germany to harvest and privatize as it tries - and fails - to compete in a global economic war between the US and China/BRICS. The worst case is that tensions with Russia over Pridnestrovie, as well as possible eventual NATO involvement (though Moldova is not a member, it is a partner of NATO), result in the ongoing war also reaching them.


Please check out the HexAtlas!

The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.

Israel-Palestine Conflict

If you have evidence of Israeli crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.

Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:

UNRWA reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.

English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.

English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict

Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


(page 8) 50 comments
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[–] miz@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago (9 children)
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[–] plinky@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago (4 children)

Looks at the world:

https://xcancel.com/BenBurgis/status/1849195089743991065

Sounds about white for fedcobin (and he is not complete shit, if I correctly remember names)

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[–] SeekTheDeletion@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago (6 children)

So far this looks like a limited strike and indicative of Israelis backing down to Iranian deterrence?

Hopefully I haven’t spoke too soon, I think only a small amount of targets so far.

The Iranian general spoke of two outcomes. A large strike from Israel that will be met with a return fire of 1000 missiles and all proxy fronts activating, or a limited symbolic strike to save face while backing down.

Which do we think it is? It benefits Israel to be ambiguous and make it seem like a small strike at first either way.

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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago)

Chinese embassy in Brazil sees attempted interference and says US makes 'irresponsible' comments about Sino-Brazilian relations

Chinese diplomacy reacted to a speech by a representative of the Biden administration in São Paulo. The exchange of attacks between China and the US comes weeks before Xi Jinping's visit to Brazil.

Article

The note was released on Friday (25) after Katherine Tai, trade representative for the Joe Biden administration, said that Brazil should analyze “the risks” of deepening trade relations with China.

Katherine Tai made the remarks while taking part in an event in São Paulo this week, organized by Bloomberg, when she spoke about the Belt and Road initiative.

In general terms, the initiative launched in 2013, known as the “new silk road”, aims to bring China closer to other countries through investments, trade agreements and infrastructure projects, including deals on highways, railroads, oil and gas pipelines and work in the energy sector.

In the document it released, the Chinese embassy says that the United States is making “irresponsible” comments about the Sino-Brazilian relationship.

“Recently, a high-ranking US government official who was in Brazil [...] made irresponsible comments about the Brazilian debate on cooperation related to the Belt and Road Initiative,” says the note.

“Such an act lacks respect for Brazil, a sovereign country, and disregards the fact that Sino-Brazilian cooperation is equal and mutually beneficial. For this reason, we express our strong displeasure and vehement opposition,” adds the document signed by the spokesperson for the Chinese embassy in Brazil, Shi Yong Ren.

The statement also says that Brazil “deserves to be respected” by the US because it is a “great nation” that defends its independence and has a high international profile.

“Brazil does not need others to dictate who it should cooperate with or what kind of partnerships it should pursue. China has always valued and respected Brazil,” said the spokeswoman.

The exchange between the United States and China comes weeks before President Xi Jinping's visit to Brazil to take part in the G20 Summit - a group that brings together the world's main economies - in Rio de Janeiro.

Xi Jinping (Communist Party of China) is expected to take advantage of the trip for a bilateral meeting with President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (Workers' Party). In addition to the meeting with Xi Jinping, Lula will meet with other G20 heads of state who will be attending the summit, as is customary at events of this size. Brazil is the current temporary president of the G20.

I think that no matter who wins the election in the US, Brazil will push for closer relations with China. The CPC and the Workers' Party have grown closer, Brazil has also canceled military contracts with the US and Israel, replacing them with Russian and Chinese companies, and Xi seemed much more eager to talk and meet with Lula than Biden. I think that the only real difference will be that if Trump wins, this push will be faster, since Lula really dislikes Trump for his connections with Bolsonaro.

[–] sisatici@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Mhp, nationalist party, owner of the grey wolves, is advocating for release of Abdullah Öcalan. Most likely reason mhp is demanding release of Abdullah Öcalan is that they are trying to make peace with ypg that will allow ypg to participate in attack on Iran by USA

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[–] Aru@lemmygrad.ml 48 points 9 months ago

Nicholas Maduro made a technical stop in Algeria, the other person in the picture is the prime minister Nadir Arbawi, they just chilling ig

[–] carpoftruth@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (5 children)

I read this recent think tank report on the German arms industry viz a viz Russia's

https://www.ifw-kiel.de/fileadmin/Dateiverwaltung/IfW-Publications/fis-import/1f9c7f5f-15d2-45c4-8b85-9bb550cd449d-Kiel_Report_no1.pdf

The exec summary and chapter 2 is worth reading, otherwise the main takeaways are that Clausewitz was right about industrial war and attrition, ukraine is getting rinsed, nato is not prepared for industrial war. A few other specifics:

  • the authors estimate that the Russian military industrial complex can build the equipment of the current entire German army about 3 times a year

  • on interception of missiles: Sample interception rates for commonly used Russian missiles in 2024: 50% for the older Kalibr subsonic cruise missiles, 22% for modern subsonic cruise missiles (e.g. Kh-69), 4% for modern ballistic missiles (e.g. Iskander-M), 0.6% for S-300/400 supersonic long-range SAM, and 0.55% for the Kh-22 supersonic anti-ship missile. Data on interception rates of hypersonic missiles is scarce: Ukraine claims a 25% interception rate for hypersonic Kinzhal and Zircon missiles, but Ukrainian sources also indicate such interceptions require salvo firing all 32 launchers in a US-style Patriot battery to have any chance to shoot down a single hypersonic missile. By comparison, German Patriot batteries have 16 launchers, and Germany has 72 launchers in total.

  • the authors estimate that any slowdown of tank build out rate due to running out of older Soviet era chassis won't begin until 2026 earliest

Democratization of advanced strike abilities via proliferation of drone and missile technology is a big deal. It is so much more expensive to defend against these munitions than attack with them. The significance of current world wars are akin to Agincourt, with missiles and drones playing the role of the long bow

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[–] AssortedBiscuits@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago (1 children)

I turn my head and there's already 50+ new comments.

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[–] ziggurter@hexbear.net 48 points 9 months ago (3 children)
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[–] grandepequeno@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (1 children)

Germany Thuringia state coalition talks.

Tldr to keep out the far right it looks like it will be a CDU/SPD government but it needs support from Wagenknecth's party, some expected her to demand conditions related to ukraine, energy and immigration but turns out she's not really demanding anything much to support the coalition.

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[–] jackmarxist@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago (4 children)

Moldova joining the EU would actually be very funny because it will just be a money sink for the sinking ship. But atleast the people would be able to escape Moldova far more easily so it’s a huge plus for them.

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[–] fever@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago

The Iranian media says in Sistan and Balochstan province 10 police officers that were on patrol were killed today by unknown gunmen.

Source: Mehr News Agency (in Farsi)

Today’s combat footage and news from the Donbass, Gaza, and Lebanon.

Russian forces in the Donbass recently destroyed a grouping of several more US-built armored vehicles, including a “Bradley” infantry fighting vehicle, a M113 armored personnel carrier, and M1117 and MaxxPro armored vehicles (18+ combat footage): https://odysee.com/@Support4Z:b/%F0%9F%93%BD%EF%B8%8F-A-%F0%9F%87%AC%F0%9F%87%A7-%F0%9F%87%AB%F0%9F%87%B7,--magnificent-catch-of-NATO-armored-vehicles-of-the-AFU!:b

Palestinian resistance forces released more combat footage showing recent RPG, IED, and sniper strikes on Zionist invaders in northern Gaza (18+): https://southfront.press/in-video-hamas-fighters-ambush-burn-israeli-armored-bulldozers-in-gaza/

Lebanese Hezbollah resistance forces destroyed more invaders and struck two Merkava tanks along the border (summary/report): https://www.presstv.ir/Detail/2024/10/24/735904/Lebanon-Hezbollah-Aita-al-Shaab-Aitarun--Merkava

[–] meth_dragon@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (14 children)

if its existence were at stake, what would stop israel from nuking the us after washington tugs the leash one too many times lol?

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[–] fever@hexbear.net 47 points 9 months ago* (last edited 9 months ago) (2 children)

Number of Iranian martyers in Israeli strike on Iran's soil is now 5.

Source: Student News Agency (in Farsi)

Update: He was civilian

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[–] dead@hexbear.net 46 points 9 months ago (3 children)

DPRK reports that it is still planning retaliation against ROK propaganda leaflet scattering and that they found more leaflets scattered on Oct 21.

The DPRK detective agencies' investigation into the drones from the ROK is going on and the truth behind the despicable provocation of the ROK military gangsters will be analyzed further in detail.

No one knows how our retaliation and revenge will be completed.

spoiler

Press Statement of Kim Yo Jong, Vice Department Director of C.C., WPK

Pyongyang, October 22 (KCNA) -- Kim Yo Jong, vice department director of the Central Committee of the Workers' Party of Korea, issued the following press statement on Tuesday:

The reckless infringement upon the sovereignty of the DPRK by the ROK military gangsters is a hideous military provocation that can never be pardoned.

Seoul will have to experience at first hand so as to know properly how dangerous act it committed and how terrible and fatal the consequences it brought on itself are.

A military provocation against a nuclear weapons state may be led to horrible situation, unimaginable for politicians and military experts in any big or small country in the world with their normal thinking to experience. So, there will be no such instance except one recently made by lunatics of the ROK and Ukraine.

Such deed can be done only by lunatics in the Seoul and Kiev regimes.

Seoul and Kiev are exact counterparts in going about begging and letting loose reckless remarks against nuclear weapons states at random without follow-up capability.

It seems to be a common feature of bad dogs bred by the U.S.

The DPRK detective agencies' investigation into the drones from the ROK is going on and the truth behind the despicable provocation of the ROK military gangsters will be analyzed further in detail.

No one knows how our retaliation and revenge will be completed.

A lot of political motivational rubbish sent by the ROK scum was discovered and removed in many parts of the DPRK on October 21, too.

The brute courage of the Seoul authorities to jump into fire with brushwood on their backs, far from reflecting on their conducts and being prudent, will bring the danger of destruction of all the scum. And they will be denounced by everyone else. -0-
www.kcna.kp (Juche113.10.22.)

.
http://kcna.kp/en/article/q/b02ea907dce5b8c1e3f89bc1ff090dcf.kcmsf
https://archive.is/pTLPy

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[–] TomBombadil@hexbear.net 46 points 9 months ago (6 children)

Im worried for my Iranian pals. How many shots of whiskey do I down or bowls of weed do I need to smoke tonight in order to not die from anxiety

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