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this post was submitted on 16 Mar 2024
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That is the big question, but US is getting spread pretty darn thin at this point. It's not clear that US would be able to hold on to Niger by force especially if Mali and Burkina Faso are supporting them.
I think they're spread too thin too + election year. I would bet that they will try to convince one of their neocolonies in africa to do a military intervention, it's what they're doing in Haiti.
They already tried using ECOWAS right after the coup, and that fell apart. It's unlikely they'd have better luck with it a second time around.
They be racking up the Ls, its so satisfying.
Election, schmelection. The Pantomime won't change the bastards in the pentagon and Langley. Those will continue to operate, regardless of whose face is on TV
The elections do disrupt the political leadership of the country somewhat
Yes, and no. The US still has a massive pool of might to pull from hypothetically, the issue is a cultural rejection towards putting boots on the ground among the civilian population. Without a VERY convincing narrative, a significant portion of the zoomers will become radicalized… and they know that.
Right there is a political aspect to it, but the massive pool of might is not by any means unlimited either. US is already involved in multiple conflicts, and the proxy war in Ukraine has definitely taken a big toll. Army recruitment isn't hitting targets, and military production isn't keeping up, these are real problems with no easy solutions. Meanwhile, US still has ambitions to try and contain China somehow.
Anyone want to place bets on when they reintroduce tye draft?
I hope they do.
The day they reintroduce the draft is the day we reintroduce fragging.
Gonna be a really hard sell.
I also think that the people of African nations learned their decolonization lesson once - the Five Eyes need to be blinded for any individual liberation to succeed. I don't think they're operating on the same dimensions as the first push 50 years ago. I think they've been building their counterintelligence capabilities and creating operating space that the Five Eyes can't access, and they're likely doing it with Russian and Chinese support as those two have been at the forefront of countering Western intelligence efforts