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this post was submitted on 15 Dec 2023
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What is the thought process behind these attacks?
We all know from Operation Atalanta, the anti-piracy naval operation around Somalia by EU and UN, that interrupting trade routes is a speed run to get a strong military response. Around Yemen, even US naval forces got involved. But why would the Houthi rebels want that? Is there any gain for them from getting such an escalation? From my armchair point of view, this doesn't look smart.
It's about economic damage, if they cost everyone else 1,000,000,000 in lost revenue, deployed assets etc, for the price of a few low cost missiles then they succeed.
Could this be some kind of Mouse That Roared scenario?
Maybe they actually give a shit about the Palestinians and this isn't just realpolitik bullshit.