A reminder that as the US continues to threaten countries around the world, fedposting is to be very much avoided (even with qualifiers like "in Minecraft") and comments containing it will be removed.
Image is of Iran's President, Pezeshkian, holding up an image mid-speech at the UN memorializing the girls and teachers killed by an American missile strike on the Minab school.
My weekly preamble is in spoiler tags below.
preamble
The two big international events of the last week have been the UN summit in New York, where Pezeshkian among many others gave various speeches, and the visit by Xi Jinping and various Chinese figures to the US. While it's important to never fully discount the wider diplomatic angle of the conflicts raging around the world, by this point it should be clear to most people that the fundamental disagreements are too acute to be solved or even ameliorated with words, and there are no countries in the "international community" to "convince" to come over to your side through expert oratory and rhetoric. There is now only the language of explosives, blockades, and sanctions. Pezeshkian in particular gave a reasonably good speech, but I still believe that personally flying to the country that has committed so many crimes against his own country and its allies was not the correct move, and should have been left to Araghchi. And the difference between the US's and China's material interests are separated by too wide a canyon to be bridged by words promising cooperation and partnership.
Over in Yemen, the Saudis have intensified airstrikes on Ansarallah, which continues to make slow but steady territorial gains, particularly around Taizz, and have also repelled Saudi assaults from the north. These Saudi airstrikes have hit some military infrastructure, but also a lot of civilian infrastructure, including explicitly humanitarian buildings like those supplying food. To me, this doesn't seem strategically or tactically effective, especially with so much of your own oil infrastructure in ballistic missile range, but I suppose there's not many options left for the Saudi regime. Meanwhile, the situation in Hormuz flared up on the weekend, with a record(?) number of missiles fired at ships trying to traverse the Omani route. In related news, there's been a recent tick up in sailor and marine casualties admitted by the US, indicating either that Iran scored a significant hit on a US naval vessel during its anti-ship ballistic missile strikes (and those ships have now retreated much further away, which is a data point in favour of that hypothesis, but otherwise we have no visual evidence), or that US military personnel are taking a major role in attempting to move oil through Iran's blockade by manning at least some of the tankers.
Claims that oil transits out of the Middle East have returned almost to normalcy can be trivially contradicted by third grade mathematics and the evidence of our senses: namely, increasing worldwide shortages and growing considerations for rationing diesel and other such oil products. Indeed, the potential for shortages has now risen to the extent that Trump briefly suggested an diesel export ban. However, I'll admit that the situation in Hormuz has become much harder to follow for everybody involved than it was in March and April. Nowadays, some vessels are moving through Iran's prearranged passage, there is undeniably quite a bit of oil getting out through ports that don't need to go through Hormuz like Fujairah, and meanwhile, there are theories and rumors of widely varying degrees of dubiousness of temporary arrangements of Iran not firing on vessels traversing the Omani route in exchange for such-and-such hypothetical benefits, perhaps even including Iranian oil getting mixed into some of the vessels. And on top of all of that, you have to take into account China's curious moves in the oil markets, which have substantially influenced supplies and prices since March.
In that environment, it's hard not to have at least an iota of sympathy for the tanker trackers of the world who are trying to get some concrete information while everybody makes unsupported claims. The aforementioned intensified Iranian strikes on the Omani route are a data point in favour of ships getting through when they shouldn't - otherwise, they'd have nothing to be striking, unless they're just providing enrichment and employment to any divers trying to disarm naval mines - and so we'll just have to see whether Iran will allow the current situation of a slightly leaky Hormuz to continue for reasons unknown to us, or now truly drop the hammer on illegal strait transits to put pressure on the US. The other big new item lately around Iran has been some of their airlines being sanctioned, which several countries in the region seem to be obeying, while others around the world, like China, aren't intimidated. This been of particular significance in regards to Iraq, where there have been major protests about reopening flights between Iran and Iraq, and we'll have to see where that goes next.
Perhaps little of major significance will occur in the war until the midterms are over. Nothing I've seen so far indicates to me that Democrats will put up a serious opposition to Trump's war efforts except in very particular and isolated cases, and so from a purely non-domestic, geopolitical perspective, I expect the midterm results to change nothing. Political "gridlock" and "lame duck periods" exist as illusory excuses for the general population to prevent positive things from occurring domestically; they are not hurdles that exist in reality when the American bourgeoisie all agree on a course of action, such as attempting (now in vain) to stop Iran, Russia, and China. Slightly more interesting will be the results of the Zionist elections, but only slightly. On the one hand, it would be satisfying to see the current party lose power, but on the other, it has been their sheer incompetence that has, over just a few years, led the occupation into the greatest crisis of their short history. Nothing about their domestic or foreign policy seems likely to change, as they have dug themselves too deep into the hole now. Also coming up is the Brazilian elections, where Lula is once again facing off against another Bolsonaro. I wish him the best, but I worry that the margin of victory for a non-comprador party outside the West now needs to be pretty damn high to overcome foreign voter suppression efforts and accusations of election fraud by pro-US organizations, and the current margins in the polls are not terribly encouraging by that measure.
Last week's thread is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
If you have evidence of Zionist crimes and atrocities that you wish to preserve, there is a thread here in which to do so.
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
https://mronline.org/2026/09/30/rehearsal-for-an-afternoon-in-the-future-augusto-boal-in-a-caracas-commune/
I wanted to share this, showing life inside a Venezuelan commune. people here don't understand what is at stake. Most here have never organized, and if so, only in bourgeois unions. When people here claim the movement is dead, these are the people who they are erasing from life, who will have to deal with the bombs and the sanctions. Manufacturing consent for leftists to premptively abandon the movement is directly aiding imperialism. any sincere leftist on the sidelines would support Chavismo instead of working hard to convince people to abandon them
abridged, full article in link
The plaza is the center of Cristo Rey, one of the nine communal councils that make up El Panal and the most recent to join the commune. Surrounding the plaza are the Sala de Autogobierno (Self-Government Hall), always buzzing with communal activity; the Aula Cultural Ali Primera, where kids can take guitar or karate classes; Radio Arsenal, where the communards themselves broadcast constantly about their dreams and challenges; a Barrio Adentro medical clinic; a soccer field; children’s play areas; and an open-air amphitheater with remarkable acoustics, called a concha acústica. The commune recuperated this space only recently, after years of neglect by the local government. It was built for meeting, deciding, learning, playing, and telling stories, and on the afternoon of Saturday, September 12, it served all of these purposes at once.
If the truth be told, the scene felt like an afternoon in a socialist future. Not a finished future, of course, but one glimpsed in practice. The earthquake that had struck Caracas almost three months earlier left no visible trace in the plaza itself, but its effects are still evident: cracks are being repaired, walls rebuilt. More than a hundred homes had been damaged. Just days after the earth shook, however, the commune’s spokespeople, joined by engineers, had identified the damage and began the repairs, with the municipal government supplying bricks, cement, and paint.
Outside, residents of Cristo Rey were busy electing their spokespeople: coordinators of tasks such as education, sports, health, culture, and finances. Participation was high, with turnout above 50 percent, and the atmosphere was festive. Throughout the afternoon, people were crossing the plaza with their soup bowls, trading stories and predictions about the election.
The thirty-something communard called Anacaona was one of the people overseeing the process. A spokesperson herself, she is always busy. Now she is texting someone about bricks to be delivered to finish rebuilding a home, while talking with another about the day’s events. Putting the elections in context, Anacaona reflected: “The assembly is Chávez’s method; it’s our method. Those elected today have more responsibilities, but the decisions are made by the community as a whole.”
On the soccer field, a youth tournament was underway, and the plaza erupted at every goal. Nearby, teenagers enrolled in the commune’s summer vacation program sang with an energy that carried across the square. Younger children ran through the play areas. Most people brought together there lived in the commune, though others came from elsewhere in the city
What made this so much like an afternoon in the future? In the plaza, things that capitalist cities keep apart came together in one space: political decisions, food, sport, culture, education, children playing. Capitalist geography compartmentalizes life. Here, the borders break down. Voting was not a mere chore squeezed between other errands, and the dramatic work that was about to be presented was not mere escapism.
By late afternoon, more than a hundred people had gathered around the amphitheater to watch the play. The work had a provocative title: Bolívar: You Did Not Plow in the Sea. It was written by Augusto Boal, the creator of the Theater of the Oppressed, while the idea of staging in the commune was the brainchild of filmmaker Thierry Deronne and Luciano Carvalho, a teacher and theater director from Brazil’s Landless Workers’ Movement (MST).
Carvalho had come from São Paulo to Caracas for ten intense days of preparation. As a matter of principle, the actors were not professionals but young communards from El Panal and from across the country, from communes in Lara, Yaracuy, Carabobo, Falcón, Mérida, and Anzoátegui. Supporting it all was Deronne’s Escuela Popular y Latinoamericana de Cine, TV y Teatro, a grassroots project dedicated to making art outside conventional cultural institutions.
Before those assembled, Carvalho made a surprising announcement: This performance was to be a world premiere. The work by Boal had never been presented before. The Brazilian director was especially delighted that it was going to happen in a Venezuelan commune, where working people are building new forms of collective power. Although Boal had written the play in the 1960s, it could not be staged in its time because the dictatorship descended on Brazil with force. The play opened with a procession. The actor-communards entered from stage left carrying flags, including the Palestinian flag, while singing “Latinoamérica,” the Calle 13 anthem whose refrain insists that the wind, the sun, and the rain are not for sale.
An important innovation was that Bolívar was not represented by one person. Instead, different communards played him at different periods of his life. At the center of the story is his meeting with Alexandre Pétion, the Haitian revolutionary, who requested one thing from Bolivar in return for supporting the cause of Venezuelan independence with arms and ships: he said that the enslaved people in Venezuela must be freed.
The play follows Bolívar through his defeats and his hardest years, which led him to think that he had, in his own words, merely “plowed in the sea.” Yet the performance ended with a young communard singing Ali Primera’s “Canción Bolivariana,” a song that insists that Bolívar’s thought is not dead. That ending enacts a response to Bolívar’s exasperated words about the futility of his life’s work. In effect, the independence leader did not plow in the sea if communards like those on stage and in the audience are willing to take up his unfinished project.
In a commune, this participative dynamic is amplified. Rehearsal never really stops: people plan, argue, and intervene in their own reality all the time, so the distance between stage and audience was minimal from the start. The actors are neighbors and comrades, and the audience did not sit still. People laughed and answered the actors out loud. At one point, a young boy in the audience insulted the representation on stage of Francisco Santander, Bolivar’s traitorous rival. The boy needed no encouragement, and nobody told him to be quiet.
Both the voting and the play—the afternoon’s two main events—followed the same logic. Through the voting process, people were choosing their spokespeople, knowing that authority still rests with the community as a whole. In the amphitheater, people were doing something similar with Bolívar: refusing to hand him over to a single actor. Throughout much of Venezuelan history, Bolívar was trapped in a single body, and that was a statue! Chávez brought him down from the pedestal and into the present as a living political project. The Bolívar of El Panal that day had many bodies and many ages.
Plowing in the sea is a vivid image of futility. One of Bolívar’s last major projects, which may have led him to think he had plowed in the sea, was the project of Latin American unity embodied in the 1826 Amphictyonic Congress in Panama. The aim of that event, depicted in one of the plaza’s murals, was to form a league of Latin American nations.
Two hundred years later, communards in Venezuela and peoples around the continent are still at work on this project of Latin American unity, even as U.S. imperialism meddles in our continent’s affairs with unprecedented levels of violence. In the work of theater, one could see a powerful image of Latin American unity. On the stage, there stood communards from several communes, a director from Brazil’s landless movement, and, among the flags, the flags of Palestine and Haiti. To be sure, it was no league of states, and nobody signed a treaty. However, the performance was a rehearsal for and small enactment of Latin American unity.
Carvalho said that an organized pueblo, one that builds popular power every day, cannot be defeated. The Brazilian theater director’s optimism might have seemed out of place, given the major setbacks Venezuela has experienced this year. However, unlike most of the claims being thrown around about Venezuela these days, which are given from disembodied positions, Carvalho’s affirmation was a grounded one. The capacities a pueblo acquires through practice—whether making political decisions together, staffing a radio, or staging a drama—are indeed the revolution’s bedrock. Thierry Deronne seconded this idea, pointing to the need to expand it. Deronne said that “a revolution must have a strong cultural front,” and he affirmed the central role of communes such as El Panal in that task.
Today, Venezuela has been hit by an earthquake and an imperialist military attack, while Latin America is more divided than ever. Many are saying, in so many words, that not only Bolívar but also Chávez, Evo Morales, and their whole generation plowed in the ocean. However, from the perspective of El Panal Commune, where people are hard at work day after day—in organizing, voting, art, sports, and production—things look and feel very different. In this commune, politics and the historical project have touched ground. Here, people are plowing not in the ocean but in the territory, and they are producing concrete results.
Thank you for sharing this comrade
Random westerners recognizing reality and talking about it has no impact on the communes in Venezuela. We have told nobody to “abandon them”, in fact our argument is that their own government is doing so and they must prepare for that.
This isn’t The Promise. Our thoughts and prayers and positive energy believing in the revolution isn’t doing anything. There is no point in “having faith” and disbelieving our own eyes.
These communes represent 1% of the labor force of Venezuela and were always an experimental side project. The main damage of the ongoing betrayal is the millions of Venezuelans who will have to face austerity and social services collapse as the oil funds are redirected to imperialists and compradors instead of the public.
Internationalism is a core tenant of Marxism, and why? Why have communists always advocated for oppressed and marginalized people of the world? We look to the failures of internationalism with shame, often being some of the primary reasons for the failures of communism to proliferate globally. A lack of unity, a lack of solidarity, a lack of foresight.
Inoculating ideas is a part of manufacturing consent, and if the US needs the international solidarity movement to abandon Venezuela, and needs Venezuelans to become fractured, as we know these are the two primary strategies of the US after all, aiding that in your small way is still throwing weight behind one side of a contradiction and deserves to be challenged. I'm not saying your posting is significant in its ability to enact change, I'm saying this is a Marxist website and that being a Communist comes with having principles, like internationalism, as well as using material evidence to support analysis instead of emotions and fears. If someone is guessing and ends up right, that isn't a Marxist way of processing information and is almost useless in any greater analogy or strategy.
If leftists on hexbear don't enough information to know what is going on but keep seeing other leftists online perpetuating imperialist talking points "from the left," they may adopt those perspectives and start perpetuating them as well, including in the organizations they are in. This could lead to organizations at large being pushed by ignorant members influenced by reactionary analysis to abandon support, stop education and awareness and fundraising, and shift to other things, leaving the US to do what they want without domestic or international pushback. Again, you aren't significant enough on your own to do all that, just one push behind the machine which manufactures consent and sows mis and disinformation
And in what historic coups can you point to where a socialist project was couped and the people who live there still didn't know 9 months later? How can you be so sure that they are abandoned but they are still insisting they haven't been? Why do the millions of Venezuelan not know something about their own lives that you can be so sure?
These words really show you haven't done the required reading to have any right to speak on the subject. If you think austerity and social services collapse is something that Venezuelans are now about to face because of Delcy Rodriguez, you have literally no idea of the reality of Venezuela since the time of Chavez and especially under Maduro. Even a glance at the timeline of Venezuelan history would be a step in the right direction towards an informed analysis, but if you can't be bothered to do that I don't understand why you are attempting to present my material analysis as "thoughts and prayers," while literally having no evidence to support your positions.
I think where this discussion keeps getting stuck is trying to analyze the intentions of Delcy Rodríguez and of the government generally, which are largely unknowable outside of a small circle. We do a bit better when analyzing the concessions they've made to US imperialism, but the extent and the impact of them is also debated, and much of it hasn't yet happened, so it's difficult to know. As far as popular opinion, I would imagine most people there are presenting a united front against US imperialism, but none of us can actually read the popular mood from wherever we're posting from. I'm sure their judgment and strategy is better than whatever we could come up with, but it's absolutely not infallible.
There are a few things we can absolutely say with confidence. The US is going to continue to squeeze Venezuela. Their weakening empire has meant an increased focus on exploiting and controlling Latin America, a trend very likely to continue in the med/long term. And Venezuela is not in a great position to resist this pressure militarily or economically.
So where does this end? What can force the US to back off and at least give them some room again? Some combination of external factors like military depletion, severe economic crisis, or other "problems" taking priority might be enough. But that's entirely outside of any of our control. The only thing they can do is movement building and preparing for popular resistance, the same things that apply to the core countries or the rest of the region. Passively trusting the existing state is not sufficient because that state is not in a position to resist effectively on it's own, regardless of anyone's intentions.
I mostly agree. I do think there are plenty of resources available to get an idea about the current sentiment within the movement and without it. The Venezuelan right are totally weak and are pissed that Chavistas are still in power, they have said this. The Chavistas are pissed at the US but have been explicitly calling to rally behind Delcy because she is the elected vice president and has been into a challenging situation and there is no evidence she was involved or tangentially responsible. We see that the entirety of PSUV including Maduros son is working with her, that all their rhetoric has remained revolutionary, and that they are in the streets with the communes promising continued support, who also continue to support in kind.
I'm not advocating for passively trusting the state, I'm saying to learn the conditions of Venezuela, compare their situation over time, watch how it changes moving forward, and listen to and support the masses. As it stands, the only way any Latin American country won't be squeezed by the US is for people here to advocate for them in their own nations and support their revolution actively through earnestly trying to destroy capitalism. spreading a narrative that promotes abandonment of internationalism only helps their enemies
This is good, they should continue.
I have no interest in convincing people to abandon the movement or the struggle but I do fear their leadership has sold them out and they face the prospect of tendrils of infection and collapse destroying them in future via carefully architectured plans. Time will tell. Those on the ground have no reason to stop organizing but they also have every reason to prepare for what might be a civil war against elements of their own movement should they turn out to be sell-outs and traitors. At that point they will have either prepared themselves to resist or they will find themselves whimpering beneath the imperialist boot as it all collapses. In the meantime they have quite the fight holding their leaders feet to the fire and making it look to Rubio that the government has limited maneuvering room and less area for concessions while maintaining control in order to minimize what the US can gain. This is to their advantage to strengthen their position should the time for strong resistance come about.
I think your fears are totally valid and people should fully process and feel comfortable expressing feelings as such. My only concern as a Marxist is once people start justifying ideas based on feelings without supporting evidence. Based on your comment, you have decided what chavistas need to do based on your fears, but if they don't have the same fears, why would they do that? If chavistas at large still feel confident that they haven't been sold out, then the conclusions you've come to out of fear likely don't line up with the material circumstances of the people on the ground. Remember, when the USSR was dissolved, we knew the people were against what was going on because they were in the streets attempting and failing to stop it. In every example of a coup we have seen, it is pretty much immediately known and acknowledged by the people who are on the ground that it has happened. We are bringing the year to a close and chavistas are still united as the governing force of their socialist experiment. I don't see how arm chair leftists can be so sure of something that has allegedly happened but the people who it happened to are for the most part sure it hasn't happened. I've already made it clear what that means to me, to assume Black and Indigenous revolutionaries know less about their own experience than someone online with no relationship to their struggle, even an internationalist one.
Unfortunately I think there are many examples of revolutions making errors or fatal compromises that are not recognized at the time, or not effectively opposed. To avoid debating details, everyone would agree that everything was not going perfectly until 1991? And the popular opposition only appeared too late and too small to stop it. But surely something could have been done at some earlier point?
Personally I think of a coup as an event, but of course an event like that would only be possible because of some errors along the way.
We can look to the history of Chavismo and see a relatively consistent trajectory within their movement, a nearly constant defense against generational siege, and a deepening of the commune movement. Their failures are consistent as well in my opinion, not diversifying their economy earlier, not repressing their reactionaries enough, but otherwise their movement has gone through internal struggles and come out more unified consistently as well.
There are no indications that I've seen to justify assuming that there was a situation akin to baathist syria for example, of a generational movement that was rotting from within. We knew syria was rotting when we supported assad, because we knew he alternative was literally ISIS, but we don't support PSUV because the alternative is ISIS, we support them because they are the organic revolutionary movement of the masses who still actively support it and they need our support more than ever
The trajectories of Bolivia and Venezuela are completely different even though they have so much in common with one another (former Spanish colonies in South America that were part of the Pink Tide). When we say that Arce is a traitor who has betrayed the Bolivian masses, we can point to his ultimately successful attempt at purging Morales and Morales loyalists from MAS, his jailing of union leaders who have dutifully served the Bolivian masses, that bizarre fake coup which points to collaboration between his petty bourgeois faction of MAS and the more reactionary elements of the Bolivian state apparatus, and the curious lack of concern for the various attempts against Morales's life. When Arce completely purged MAS of Morales loyalists, the campesinos simply abandoned MAS to the point where their presidential candidate ate shit and the party completely vanished from Bolivian electoral politics. This is how a politicized mass of people responds to betrayal.
Yes absolutely, in past comments I've also pointed to Bolivia as what it would likely looked like if there was an actual coup in Venezuela, but some prefer to compare to Russia in the 90s instead of a current and materially similar context that has actual overlap in historical, economic, cultural and political relevance. They seem to think all Venezuelans are fools and cowards