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AOC suddenly leapfrogs to the front of 2028 presidential race on prediction market
(www.the-independent.com)
this post was submitted on 14 Aug 2026
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My best case scenario is 8%. During the first half of AOC's term she and the dems do a half-assed ~5%. By design a lot of what they do requires something unrealistic: a dem house and senate for 4 years for them to finish the job. But the norm is that the president's party does poorly in midterms. But we'll assume the dems are strong for four years. They do 10% but GOP SCOTUS throws a lot of sand in the gears so only 8% can be accomplished.
A more realistic situation 5+%. During AOC's entire term - GOP SCOTUS does it sand in the gears gag. The dems lose the house or the senate (both?) in the midterms. They do 3% more in AOC's last two years. The math is 8% minus GOP SCOTUS' sand.
In either case the immigration terror apparatus maybe gets a 10% cut in funding from $250B to $225B. And the dems and AOC didn't pack the court. A GOP president in 2032 has those tools right at hand the day after their inauguration.
they won’t fix anything, they will just say they fixed 8%