Image is from this Bloomberg article, depicting world oil inventories plunging towards the operational floor at which pipelines and refineries cease operating, which is expected to occur in September at current rates.
A pretty short preamble below, in spoiler tags.
summary
The conflict continues to be kept at a relatively low level despite Iran's fiery encounters with US destroyers. I think it's only becoming increasingly obvious that the US is trying to cobble together some major clandestine operation mixing special forces, the air force, and naval destroyers to either seize Iranian uranium, take control of Iranian seaports, or both. Given a) how the Istafan op went, b) further Iranian preparations around sensitive sites, and c) a seeming strengthening of Iranian air defense around the Persian Gulf (multiple drones and manned aircraft have squawked emergency codes and potentially been shot down over the last few weeks), I find it difficult to imagine this operation fulfilling its objective, and even if did somehow work, why the removal of uranium would necessitate Iran ending the blockade and the war. On that note, I've seen reports that Iran is saying that if the US attacks their oil tankers again, they will resume firing on US military bases.
Additionally, Aragchi has stated that not only has Iran's missile/launcher stockpiles not gone down from pre-conflict, it has actually increased by 20%. This is unsurprising given the total war that Iran is now in; all resources within reason must now be funnelling towards drone and missile production.
Atrocities in Gaza, the West Bank, and Lebanon are continuing. The toll that FPV drones are taking on the common Zionist soldiery are quickly becoming apparent, as we are receiving ever-increasing amounts of footage of vehicles and gatherings of soldiers being struck by Hezbollah's drones. The casualty situation is, as expected, being hidden, but any kind of serious occupation of even the border villages of southern Lebanon (let alone up to the Litani) seems unsustainable.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
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The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
https://xcancel.com/Ollie_Vargas_/status/2055517199721545869
The fact that there are police officers opposed to the plan is a good sign of progress vs. like ten years ago
High up to be getting this documentation too
Bolivian Police and Army do have a historical progressive (left-wing nationalist pro-soviet ideology) faction, they were behind the 1952 revolution, the 1969 military coup (moderate faction) and the 1970 military coup (socialist faction), were all led by this group.
One thing that doesn't cease to amaze me is the brazenness at which the US government is simultaneously willingly to do The Worst Thing Imagineable anywhere at any opportunity while also eating itself in engorging amounts.
And then you remember: the US government is a system, not a thinking entity. It's a system first of all beholden to capital, and the agents of capital feel nothing else but a hunger that can only be filled by unlimited expansion in every direction internal and external at all costs, even at the expense of longevity itself.
Honestly hoping that cancer will eventually kill it's host and the US empire will finally die
Jesus Christ, I hate this fucking world, no matter what we do, we're up against these fascist fucks, with everyone being apathetic towards them, while condemning us and not them.
The US could never have it fill of genocide, it has to encourage the eradication of as many people of color around the world as it can. Fuck the compradors that enable the white supremacist entity enact these crimes against their own brothers and sisters.
This is why we're scary authoritarian tankies btw, nothing else works without Uncle Sam getting his way
Popularly elected, non communist, and he gets treated like fucking Stalin. Might as well be at that point. Hopefully his guards have a lot of dynamite
To western "leftists", getting murdered by fascists is a lot more admirable than murdering said fascists
Always
https://redsails.org/western-marxism-and-christianity/
I remember this page distinctly. Great excerpt. The last paragraph should be a tagline & copypasta.
Full text of that page for copypasta purposes:
spoiler
This was another very difficult question I had to ask my interview subjects, especially the leftists from Southeast Asia and Latin America. When we would get to discussing the old debates between peaceful and armed revolution; between hardline Marxism and democratic socialism, I would ask:“Who was right?”
In Guatemala, was it Árbenz or Che who had the right approach? Or in Indonesia, when Mao warned Aidit that the PKI should arm themselves, and they did not? In Chile, was it the young revolutionaries in the MIR who were right in those college debates, or the more disciplined, moderate Chilean Communist Party?
Most of the people I spoke with who were politically involved back then believed fervently in a nonviolent approach, in gradual, peaceful, democratic change. They often had no love for the systems set up by people like Mao. But they knew that their side had lost the debate, because so many of their friends were dead. They often admitted, without hesitation or pleasure, that the hardliners had been right. Aidit’s unarmed party didn’t survive. Allende’s democratic socialism was not allowed, regardless of the détente between the Soviets and Washington.
Looking at it this way, the major losers of the twentieth century were those who believed too sincerely in the existence a liberal international order, those who trusted too much in democracy, or too much in what the United States said it supported, rather than what it really supported—what the rich countries said, rather than what they did. That group was annihilated.
Was just talking to one of my highschool friends about this passage, gonna save this and maybe find a moment to send him it.
One thing I'd like to note is how no matter how "sovreign" a given nation claims to be, they give the game away immediately once you see their official documents typed up in the Calibri typeface
Just Calibri? Sans-serif fonts are an accommodation for people with dyslexia
Why?
Microsoft exclusive
It was the official typeface of the US state department before Marco Rubio decided it was woke and switched back to Times New Roman. Some typefaces are imbued with evil. Calibri embodies the vibe of a large corporate human resources department. Cheltenham carries the aura of breathlessly justifying the slaughter of maternity wards. Tannenberg, well, if you read anything printed in Tannenberg there's a good chance it was written by Joseph Goebbels himself.
I dont mean to alarm you, but the font on this site is very close to calirbi. What is this, some roboto typeface? Haha yes we're all feds.
But in all seriousness, you're talking our your arse, very vibes based
i've seen a better sourve for this, but the wikipage does have the actual nazi decree about moving away from blackletter type faces.
It is true that the Nazis got mad at blackletter typefaces in 1941 and stopped using them but before that they had been prolific users of Tannenberg. I think they even used it on coins.
Why should I trust you, a Roboto user?
The US is going to open up a can of revolutionary worms in Latin America that it is not prepared to handle. I long for the destruction of this wretched empire of death.
for every Maduro or Evo they kidnap, they spawn a thousand Subcommadante Marcos, Guevaras, and Castros.