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It's a vast field of study that's been around since the 1950s, which has been completely demolished in the popular imagination by the social mania recently surrounding a select few of its inventions.
Okay, good. Someone who has some notion of what AI is and the broader context.
You are correct.
AI was first conceptualized in the 1950s at a conference in the US. Since then there have been several "AI cycles" involving winters and summers. We are now in the last summer of the last AI cycle. Which is expected to take 10 years to complete.
All prerequisites for an accelerated path to AGI have been achieved. Which is why there were previous winter/summer cycles. Economic limitations, hardware bottlenecks, funding gaps, etc.
Almost all of the anti-AI folks are foolish to think they understand what theyre up against. Or whats going on. They are ignorant pawns. Unfortunately.
I haven't seen anything to suggest we are on any kind of path to AGI. LLMs are a dead end, but a dead end sucking up all the oxygen in the room.
Probably a good thing because I don't see any world in which AGI isn't an existential threat.
It's not the first time some people got over-excited about baseless predictions of imminent AGI. It's just the most expensive.