this post was submitted on 09 Apr 2026
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Image is of Iranians celebrating the beginning of the ceasefire under the framework of Iran's 10 Points.


Mere hours before Trump's 8pm Tuesday deadline yesterday, Pakistan's government contacted Iran with a US-written proposal for a two-week ceasefire, explicitly stated to also include Lebanon, during which they would negotiate a permanent end to the war on the basis of Iran's 10 Points. Among other things, these points include 1) maintaining strict control (joint with Oman) over Hormuz, complete with a toll; 2) the end of sanctions on Iran; 3) keeping their enriched uranium; 4) a withdrawal of US forces from the Middle East [stated by the Supreme Leadership Council but not in the 10 Points, so who knows], and 5) some plausible guarantee that Iran would never be attacked again. I've heard rumors that China may have prodded Iran to accept these terms.

In theory, these are relatively confident and maximalist demands. In practice, Iran has already achieved military and economic control over Hormuz and the withdrawal of many US troops and bases from the region, so at least a few of Iran's demands are, to a greater or lesser extent, already achieved, and with little hope for an increasingly exhausted US to undo these achievements short of nukes.

A couple hours after the ceasefire, the Zionist entity began a wave of airstrikes in Lebanon, killing hundreds of civilians, as well as flying drones into Iranian airspace. This was a strange move to make even if you assume - very sensibly - that the US is completely agreement non-capable: why not agree to the ceasefire and simply pretend to negotiate for two weeks while regrouping/repairing what assets you can and then start hitting Iran again?

One theory is that the Zionists are testing to what degree Iran is actually willing to have solidarity with Lebanon and Hezbollah. While the Resistance has been relatively united since October 7th, the formation of separate peaces instead of negotiating terms as a united front has been a major exploitable weakness. Alternatively, it's been proposed that the US didn't even consider using the ceasefire to regroup and deceive Iran, and that Trump merely wanted a way to chicken out of his threat on Iran's electrical grid - the fact that US officials have since stated that Iran's 10 Points were not the same ones they agreed to is a point supporting this, I suppose. If the conflict resumes and Trump does not deliver another 48 hour deadline (and/or makes it something silly like a month from now) then this could be the explanation.

From Iran, I am getting the sense that a lot is happening behind the scenes. Statements from top officials like Araghchi have stated quite plainly that there will be no ceasefire and no negotiations unless the Zionists stop attacking Lebanon, but as of ~24 hours after the ceasefire began, there has been no significant military response from Iran yet. There have apparently been phone calls between Araghchi and numerous regional officials, but it is unknown to what end. All the while, the global economic situation continues to deteriorate. Over the next week or two, the last tankers that left Hormuz before it closed will arrive at their destinations. If the missile exchanges begin once more, then the West, much like most of the rest of the world, will be experiencing all sorts of fuel, energy, food, and product shortages while trying to justify why they broke the ceasefire to kill more Lebanese civilians.


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Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.

Russia-Ukraine Conflict

Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
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Sources:

Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:

Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:

Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] vietnoomer 1 points 10 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago) (2 children)

[2026-04-12] @genHCM: BREAKING: construction begins on Vietnam's first HSR line, 120 km long, speed of 350 km/h across 4 provinces

From Hanoi to Ha Long Bay will take just 30 minutes instead of 3 hours

[2025-12-28] @BeijingDai (it's that annoying bald man again):

Expand screed

8 days ago, Vietnam announced a cooperation plan between Vietnam's richest man and Germany's Siemens to invest in the construction of the north-south high-speed railway, 8 days later, this Vietnam's rich man announced to give up the plan.

I think everything Vietnam is currently doing is just acting, with the sole purpose of putting pressure or temptation on China to agree to build this north-south railway with harsh conditions such as transferring technology to Vietnam. This is a very common tactic in bidding.

China should just ignore it and welcome Vietnam to try to cooperate with Japan, Germany, France, South Korea or anyone else. China has a lot things to do, such as China-Laos-Thailand railway and the railway in northern Vietnam and doesn't mind waiting another 10 years.

Expand smack down of this Amerikkkan psyop campaign

[2] This is only 4 months after Vingroup signed w/ Siemens for this specific project (and not for North South HSR as many were deliberately misled by "Free Media")

(the other line started almost immediately)

[3] No, Vietnam isn't building high speed rails connecting with China.

This is another classic "Free Media" psyop

@felix375: This is a dumb tactic for Vietnam. Because if they use anyone else's HSR then it won't connect to China. They have to offload everything before entering China.

This will give everyone else in SE Asia a head start. Why go to Vietnam to set up a factory when it costs a lot more?

[4] There will be 2 newly constructed lines using standard gauge 1,435mm, replacing French 1,000mm gauge line

1/ The 187-kilometer Hai Phong-Ha Long-Mong Cai railway

2/The 156-kilometer Hanoi-Lang Son railway

https://theinvestor.vn/vietnam-plans-to-invest-13-bln-in-2-railways-linking-to-china-d13064.html#%3A%7E%3Atext=By+Tri+Duc%2Cof+cargo+yearly+from+2050

@HungNguyenTuan: I am not 100% agreeing with german construction

I would rather see china to build it

Reason?

Experience, and german will gost 4x times and never ending bureaucracy

Since this guy didn't provide any supporting links, anyone want to make a better attempt? It's all in the spirit of inquiry.

@genHCM: Thread for you to educate yourself and STFU:

[2025-12-29] What this Amerikkkan doesn’t want you to remember: the first HSR project in China, from technology transfer to production, all comes from SIEMENS.

https://xcancel.com/BeijingDai/status/2005257234964762988#m (same QRT as OP)

Expand thread

Let’s help his befuddled audience wake up from historical amnesia 🧵

[2] Let’s remind these losers how embarassing mainland Chinese used to behave while begging for Western technologies.

Now many of these overseas fascists act like THEY invented everything

[2022–11-03] @BeijingDai: Vietnam choose Japan over China in 2010 to build railway from Hanoi to Ho Chi Minh for political reasons.

Now the railway is delayed and practically suspended. It can't be done until 2045.

With the closer tie between China/VN, I hope VN will replace japan with China.

[…]

[3] 5 years after the first HSR project, China was still buying around 1,000 high-speed trains from SIEMENS (!)

[4] The entirety of Chinese HSR industry all started under “digestion, absorption and re-innovation” of foreign technology.

This direction was set even before cooperation with SIEMENS. (note that Jamestown is citing Xinhua correctly here, and he's not saying China's strategy was unsuccessful at all)

[5] China was not only forcing Western companies on techn transfer but also demanded JVa (!)

No such demands have come from any Vietnamese companies to any of their potential HSR partners, incl Chinese ones.

Yet @\BeijingDai cry & lie

[6] Even more, China used market leverage to lobby the Germans allowing Chinese HSR industry to be included in German HSR supply chains.

That’s how they could stay on par with international standards.

[7] It took 10 years with all this shennanigans for China to finally be able to compete against its German teachers.

Not on better quality or better technology. But on PRICE!

This is the characteristics of most Chinese industries for the past 2-3 decades

[…]

[2025-02-24] The graph is outdated as it was written in 2009, when the downfall of Japanese world power status wasn't so obvious. Korea and Taiwan are already Stage 4, and Japan is dangerously falling to Stage 3. Vietnam is likely already at stage 3.

https://wto.org/english/res_e/booksp_e/gvcs_report_2017_chapter5.pdf

[…]

That last thread is pretty amazing as well, have a look.

@HungNguyenTuan: ? Why hostility?

Read the room bruh that won't work

I said I would prefer chinese construction as they had experience while I have been in Germany many times and knows Germany well, their bureaucracy and quality have gotten worse and it will take mostly forever

If they prove me wrong, then sure

Just not trusting Germany much, as they themselves haven't gotten hsr in germany worth mentioning

I somewhat agree, bumbling man in the replies. This thread lacks sufficient anti-German perspective. I am intrigued by the claim that Viet Nam is implementing China's industrial strategy better than China. It's not overall anti-China, it's anti-Chinese nationalist.

Is it more important to wrench industrial expertise away from the first world, or develop an immediately fully-compatible regional rail system? It's not like Europe's gauge-incompatibility is the main barrier to becoming more i̫͒n͉̋̊t̐ᷘ͂e͙ᷮ͆r̂᷃͂l᷈ᷞ͊i̡᪽͆n̗ᷮᷡk̉᷑̍eͪ᷅̑d̀̈́ᷦ, it's their stupefying lack of capital management.

"Your comments on this?" As they say.

I can't even read replies from my main instance, so should be fun, see you later! Enjoyed the discussion of anarchist vibes on the US left the last one provoked.

[–] vietnoomer 1 points 8 hours ago* (last edited 8 hours ago)

@cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml nobody would argue that German industry at home is efficient, except relative to other core countries. It's not like they forgot how to build trains, though. It's the cost of living + energy + materials & components, combined with unwillingness to manage where investment goes. Not problems when working in CN & VN. Just look at how differently car factories operate. The argument is essentially that VN is going for a better bid, & getting the rail tech directly rather than secondhand. Wouldn't it be wise to deepen collaboration with CN rail industry, though, thinking forward?

Anyways, it's past my bedtime. Check this shit out. https://m.soundcloud.com/dreamcatevo/vaporwave-mix-by-sephora-dream_mix_4

[–] cfgaussian@lemmygrad.ml 1 points 9 hours ago* (last edited 9 hours ago)

I don't know anything about this specific deal but i can confirm with 99.9% certainty that if they contracted a German firm to do it, it would take an excruciatingly long time and cost far, far more. Infrastructure construction here in Germany is a disaster. We had a construction site in front of our apartment for over a year just so the city could fix a 100m segment of street. And they fucked up our internet and water multiple times in the process.