this post was submitted on 01 Apr 2026
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Image is of a destroyed American AWACS plane in Saudi Arabia, of which there is a very limited supply and each of which is enormously expensive both monetarily and in terms of components. Iran hit this with a precision drone strike that likely cost ~$20,000.
I don't have much to add from the last megathread description. This isn't to say that nothing has happened or has changed since then - decades are still happening in weeks - but the general flow of the war is remaining the same. Trump sometimes threatens to open the Strait with troops and flatten Iran to rubble, and other times threatens that he's gonna back off and let other countries handle it if they really want little trifles like "fuel" and "energy" so much. Iran continues to strike across the Middle East. The West continues to bomb civilian infrastructure due to their relative inability to affect the missile cities. In all: things are generally getting worse for America and the Zionists.
April is the month where the last ships that left Hormuz before it was closed will arrive around the world, so the last month of economic turmoil has been a mere prelude to what's going to occur in the near-future. The silver lining is that Iran appears to be formalizing the new state of affairs in Hormuz, creating a rial-based toll to allow passage between a pair of Iranian-controlled islands where they can be monitored, meaning that, as long as the US doesn't do something exceptionally stupid, the global energy crisis may "only" last a couple years instead of simply being the new reality from now on. Some countries have already agreed to this arrangement, and others will inevitably follow despite their consternation as their economies increasingly suffer.
Last week's thread is here.
The Imperialism Reading Group is here.
Please check out the RedAtlas!
The bulletins site is here. Currently not used.
The RSS feed is here. Also currently not used.
The Zionist Entity's Genocide of Palestine
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against the temporary Zionist entity. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA reports on the Zionists' destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news.
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
Mirrors of Telegram channels that have been erased by Zionist censorship.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
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I don't think it does, not immediately anyway. All too many world leaders would be willing to write a sternly worded letter without making immediate change. It would probably lead to the end of the trump presidency, but followed by dems running on a platform of "I don't hate using nukes on civilian populations, I hate dumbly using nukes on civilian populations"
We are already seeing actual material changes e.g. several euro states refusing the US their air space and bases
I hate being optimistic bc of the risk of being disappointed, but it rly does feel we're at a moment of massive imperial collapse
We'll see if it sticks or if they go back to normal when Newsom wins in 2028, just like they all did in 2020.
Trumps first and second terms are almost incomparable imo. Not to mention the COVID crisis and subsequent mass mobilizations for BLM basically required a pivot to democrats for the sake of resetting popular unrest.
euro states have another option with an operational nuclear triad. decoupling from US was the heap of most resistance which is why they haven't done it, but the fallout would make aligning to france not just easier, but the only rational option
It wouldn't be immediate. But if the US becomes increasingly isolated in the ensuing years, leading to more desperate and unhinged behavior, leading to more isolation, in a feedback loop, I'm not sure where the off-ramp is.
if the US nukes Iran in an unhinged racist outburst, many nations will face increasing grassroots pressure to switch camps to China. Their capitalist and political classes may even feel the same -- nukes don't care how rich you are, and the US may be viewed as a loose cannon that crashed the global economy and no longer has the power to sanction them.
I think the faster the US collapses, the more dangerous it is, and there's a big question mark over "how much would nukes speed up the timeline" that freaks me out.
this is the trajectory we are on already.
yeah that also popped out at me after I wrote it. I edited it - "basically I think the faster the US collapses, the more dangerous it is, and there's a big question mark over "how much would nukes speed up the timeline" that kinda freaks me out."
this all kinda scares the shit out of me so my perspectives might not be logically consistent and might be a bit vibes-based
100%, we are living in a very stupid and evil timeline
Even if the world discards the Iranian people's suffering, irradiating the crossroads of global trade and oil production seems bad, no?
Nukes do not irradiate things long term. American modern nuclear weapons are very efficient at converting their radioactive matter into energy to be used in the initial blast. Within a week levels would be much lower, though still not great, within a few months for the most part the radiation would be back to normal.