this post was submitted on 01 Apr 2026
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Global News

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cross-posted from: https://lemmy.sdf.org/post/53072462

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[...]

The central risk is not a sudden systemic collapse, but a drawn‑out period of sub‑par growth, weak returns on investment, and fragile confidence—a pattern that will sound familiar to students of Japan’s post‑1990 trajectory.

Several specific challenges stand out:

  • Demographics: An aging, shrinking population caps housing demand and undermines the traditional link between urbanization and construction booms.
  • Balance sheets: Developers, local governments, and some financial institutions face long, grinding deleveraging cycles.
  • Policy trade‑offs: Stimulating housing too aggressively risks re‑inflating the bubble; tightening too hard risks tipping growth into a deeper downturn.
  • Confidence: Once households lose faith in property as a one‑way wealth escalator, rebuilding sentiment can take years.

[...]

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[–] Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz 5 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

Same is true in China, they have laws lmao.

I can’t lose my home for criticizing the government.

Also you kinda can, eminent domain has famously been used against entire populations that a mayor, governor, or urban planner simply didn't like.

[–] AceOnTrack@lemmy.blahaj.zone -2 points 1 week ago (1 children)
[–] Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz 0 points 1 week ago (1 children)

So what do you not actually care about whether property ownership is meaningfully different in China vs western countries beyond its use as hostile evidence?

[–] AceOnTrack@lemmy.blahaj.zone 0 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I care about good faith arguments, and you're not making one.

[–] Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz 0 points 1 week ago (1 children)

I told you how things actually work, in both China and America, is anything that doesn't reinforce preconceived notions bad faith to you?

[–] AceOnTrack@lemmy.blahaj.zone 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)

You're using the USA, a country just as shit if not worse than China when it comes to human rights to try and make China look good.

That's the bad faith argument.

[–] Alcoholicorn@mander.xyz 1 points 1 week ago (1 children)
  1. Property isn't a human right.

  2. America is the easiest as I am most familiar with it since I lived there. There's no European country I am aware of that doesn't require you pay money to continue to own property, and have the ability to force you to sell at a price they pick, if they say they have a reason.

Yes, you can argue against them in court, that's true in China too, and there are rare cases where the state doesn't have a legal mechanism to do so, and the highway or w/e has to be routed around the home, that's true in China too.