this post was submitted on 22 Mar 2026
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Image is one of many rallies in Iran in support of the government and the leadership.


short summary here, longish summary in spoiler tags below: Western standoff munition stockpiles now substantially depleted, therefore Western aircraft activity directly over Iran increasing (as is footage of attempted and actual hits against them) as the US attempts to transition more to using bombs dropped directly onto targets, Iran is increasingly in the driver's seat and controlling the conflict, world economy is fucked and yet could still get much worse very soon, if you require a car to live (especially if it's not electric) and cannot work from home then you have my sincere condolences

longish summary hereWhile I've seen several estimates on the current stockpiles of US and Zionist missiles and interceptors - somewhere in the realm of a third depleted, perhaps even up to half - it seems like we're reaching the point at which the US does not want to commit even more standoff munitions and is trying their luck against the Iranian air defense network directly.

We have already seen footage of Iran attempting to shoot down, and sometimes actually striking Western fifth generation planes like the F-35, and more footage along those lines is appearing for other plane models (with one side claiming that they evaded interception and the other claiming they hit it, etc etc, propaganda is everywhere, you know the drill). How much the US is willing to test their planes against Iranian air defense is a matter of debate. Strictly speaking, a few fighter jets and bombers shot down would be no catastrophic loss in the grand scheme of things, as the US has hundreds. However, the narrative of such a thing would be quite bad for the US - "You're telling me an OBLITERATED Iranian military can shoot down some of our most advanced equipment?? What are we gonna do against China?!" - and given Trump's deranged jingoistic rhetoric aimed to buoy markets, it's clear that he cares very deeply about narratives. Additionally, with Chinese exports of several critical metals to the US banned, the prospect of replacing these aircraft (and indeed the standoff munitions and the interceptors and the ground radars etc) is looking questionable.

All the while, Iran continues its strikes across the Middle East. Missile and drone strikes are reportedly on the uptick again, demonstrating that Iranian military capabilities have by no means been "destroyed" as Western propaganda claim, though it's impossible to sure there was ever a significant downtick due to Western censorship and outright fabrications. People around the world are gradually realizing the magnitude of the economic disaster that is occurring and may yet occur. Refineries and factories which deal with oil and gas directly are starting to slow down or stop production, and those who make products downstream of those are starting to follow them like dominoes. Outrage at gas station prices is rising, and many countries are considering limiting civilian driving and implementing work-from-home policies akin to the coronavirus pandemic. And now, threats are being made by Trump against both Kharg Island (where most Iranian oil is shipped from) and the Iranian electrical grid - which is highly decentralized and would require a prolonged bombing campaign to completely take out -and the promised Iranian reprisal would be apocalyptic to the Middle East. It would make oil prices rise to previously unfathomable heights as oil infrastructure turned off and remained off for months, perhaps years, and set in motion one of the world's greatest humanitarian catastrophes as the desalination necessary for tens of millions of people is shut down. It would also not be a symmetrical problem, as Iran does not rely on desalination for its water supply.


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Simplicius, who publishes on Substack. Like others, his political analysis should be soundly ignored, but his knowledge of weaponry and military strategy is generally quite good.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.

Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.

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Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.

https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.

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https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.


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[–] Redcuban1959@hexbear.net 28 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Milei cannot stem the decline in his image and his re-election is in jeopardy - Diagonales

The President's approval rating and that of the Government are at their lowest point, confirming the reckoning that a large part of society is making with the ruling party for the economic problems, which leads to discontent over the corruption to which the main officials were exposed.

Article

The President's approval rating and that of the Government are at their lowest point, confirming the reckoning that a large part of society is making with the ruling party for the economic problems, which leads to discontent over the corruption to which the main officials were exposed.

A trend is consolidating that keeps the Executive Branch on high alert. As Diagonales has been reporting , based on weekly reports from leading public opinion polling firms, the ruling party is experiencing its toughest weeks in what is a fundamental stronghold for its "libertarian" plans: popular approval is plummeting.

In recent days, figures have emerged that show a decline in support for La Libertad Avanza (LLA) from a society that is being hit by increasingly meager incomes, increasingly endless working days, and the uncertainty of maintaining employment.

Added to this is the anger over the "caste" behavior of the Government stemming from the scandals of possible corruption involving both Javier Milei and his officials.

In addition to the reports published by Opinaia, the Center for Public Opinion Studies and Pulso Research, new surveys confirm an adverse social mood for the Executive Branch: these are those of Zuban-Córdoba, TresPuntoCero by Shila Vilker and Hugo Haime.

The report that gives the Government the worst rating is the one released by Gustavo Córdoba, which registered a drop compared to February and 14 points less approval compared to December 2025.

While previous leadership changes tended to better separate public anger over the government's direction from Milei's image, this is also beginning to erode. When Zuban-Córdoba asked whether the population approves or disapproves of the President's performance, 58.7% said they disapproved, and only 35.4% said they approved.

“After the 2025 legislative elections, the government saw a rebound in its public approval rating, reaching a near 50%-50% split. In recent months, disapproval has risen again, widening the gap amid an economic crisis and new corruption cases,” they explained.

The numbers are alarming to those in the Executive Branch who closely monitor public opinion polls, given the substantial difference in the political climate in recent months.

“In December 2025, 48.9% approved of the national leader's performance, and at that time the negative image was 49.6%. Now, approval is at 35.4% and disapproval at 58.7%,” argues Zuban Córdoba, which expressed a negative gap of 20 points between approval and disapproval.

In detail, economic problems are the government's Achilles' heel. 27% expressed fear of losing their jobs, while 24% indicated difficulty making ends meet. Furthermore, 17% cited inflation as their main concern.

The second polling firm that brings the worst indicators for the Casa Rosada is Tres Punto Cero , directed by Shila Vilker, which in addition to showing this consolidated negative for Milei and the Government also includes economic concerns at the top of the issues that trigger the bad image of the ruling party.

This study, conducted on 1,350 cases across the country between March 13 and 16, reveals that disapproval of the administration exceeds 50%, and the negative differential is consolidated .

But it is also noted that the economy is consolidating as the main national problem for more than 60% of those surveyed.

In that breakdown, the focus is heavily marked by low wages, and critical feelings such as worry and uncertainty predominate, which together exceed 50%.

The decline in the presidential figure is evident : 66.2% stated that the libertarian head of state "doesn't amuse them," and 62.3% indicated that Milei's interventions "no longer surprise them."

Negative feelings toward Milei predominate : 60% against 33.8% against positive feelings. Furthermore, in terms of perception, 68% of those surveyed consider the President to be an “aggressive” figure.

This report goes further and delves into the consequences that may arise from the poor political, social and economic climate: 58.1% believe there is a risk of social unrest, 55% see a currency run as likely, and 52% fear hyperinflation.

In the case of the report presented by the National Study of Hugo Haime & Associates, Milei reached his historical low in management approval with 37%, and it is also seen how his positive personal image fell to 39%, the lowest figure since he assumed the first magistracy.

New to this study, for the first time in the series, the "Low Wages" category (36%) emerged as the most important problem in the country, surpassing Corruption (28%) and Inflation (21%).

The impact of economic hardship on daily life is a key part of Haime's report. Fifty percent of respondents stated they had to forgo essential purchases to make ends meet. Furthermore, 37% of the population is in debt , either through credit card use or personal loans.

In terms of public sentiment, Milei and his officials are also struggling. According to this polling firm, a negative climate affects 70% of those surveyed, with feelings like "Anger" reaching 39% and "Sadness" 31%. Hope has fallen to 23%.

This latter sentiment is important for understanding future expectations, where the government had its strongest support . But everything has changed: 47% believe the country will be worse off in a year.

Furthermore, 59% envision an Argentina with "many poor people" and almost no middle class by the end of the current term, and as seen in previous reports from other firms, the responsibility for this situation is mainly attributed to the economic policy of the current government with 64%, compared to 28% who blame the legacy received from the Peronist government.

Despite this scenario facing the Casa Rosada, various public opinion studies also show that the new and consolidated adverse climate for LLA does not directly translate into options for the opposition, which remains unaligned.

However, this data from Haime is noteworthy: while 35% would like Milei to be re-elected, 57% prefer that the next president be a "non-libertarian".

In detail, society seems to be demanding a new profile: 54% favor a proposal that combines economic stability with strengthening the national industry and generating employment.

They will have to take note on the other side of the counter.

[–] jackmaoist@hexbear.net 26 points 1 day ago (1 children)

He'll somehow win again. Liberal democracy favors fascism.

[–] Damarcusart@hexbear.net 19 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

I'm sure the Liberal party is organising their brilliant campaign right now which will consist of refusing to improve cost of living or wages but will focus heavily on big bailouts for the "struggling" multi-billion dollar companies that will lay off most of the workforce in the next few years.

[–] FuckyWucky@hexbear.net 8 points 1 day ago

Treatlers and capitalists are getting cheap foreign goods and currencies due to Government stablizing the Peso. This cannot work long term. Eventually, capital flows will reverse and you'll run out of reserves, Peso crashes and so does his 35% favorablity.