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It will be more like Afghanistan. Iran is mostly mountainous and guerilla warfare will be the default. The US relies too much on technology which will not that useful in that environment. Don't forget that the Iran army has been training for years for this type of conflict. Afghanistan was a disaster for American troops but will be nothing compared to Iran.
Afghanistan, but with a military with more plans and more space and more resources. It’ll redefine the meaning of “don’t conduct a land war in Asia”
I also wonder if the Iranian soldiers are willing to die for the regime or not. Like the Iraq invasion was relatively easy because the nation was fragmented and divided under Saddam and many soldiers deserted and surrendered quickly.
Of course the occupation was a different matter.
Whatever disagreements they have with the regime, they are rallying around the flag. Now they could peel off the kurds, except they already betrayed the kurds multiple times, and this administration explicitly has. Allowing Turkey to target them and such.
This US administration has no credibility, and no trust, and they are too dumb, mean, greedy, and short sighted to do empire successfully.
The regime is the only thing that maintain the state from complete collapse.Israel want another genocide. People learned from Iraq.