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WHO officials admit they are preparing for possible nuclear weapon use in Iran
(www.the-independent.com)
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I think if anyone is going to use a nuclear weapon, it'll be israel.
The US can pull out, president man-baby can write a fanfiction about himself winning the war, and all his thugs can turn their attention to some other debacle, but israel will always be within range of Iranian missiles.
Without US support (and many Americans, even some of the really evil ones, have had enough of israel at this point) it could end up facing an existential threat. They've shown again and again that they have absolutely no regard for human life, and they don't even seem to consider blowback most of the time. I believe israel going "Samson option" is by far the most likely nuclear scenario.
Nuclear weapons are great at leveling cities, but not so great at destroying military infrastructure. On a per-dollar basis they actually kind of suck as weapons of war. From a purely rational strategic perspective, they're most useful as a deterrent (which is how Israel has been using them). Netanyahu is an imperialist genocidal maniac but he's not dumb.
Whereas if and when Trump does get his wish to pop a nuke, it won't be for strategic gain but because he just couldn't be restrained anymore. This absolute moron wanted to nuke a fucking hurricane FFS. It's only a matter of time before he gets his wish since the US military has lost all ability to tell him no.
Israel has already shown their willingness to flatten cities and a blatant disregard for civilian life. Their president and a large majority of citizens believe "there are no innocents in Gaza", and that every child born is "already a terrorist from the moment of his birth".
Israel would consider a launch far before the US ever would. The US can sail away to safety whenever they choose, but Israel cannot. In the event Israel suffers enough damage, the Samson Option would be considered.
Bibi and Trump are both desperate and fueled by their own selfish motivations. That being said it’s not a question of stupidity but rather of myopic self-preservation.
That's the point, I can't see how it would help Netanyahu with self-preservation. Going nuclear would be unpopular and ineffective as Israelis understand that their arsenal is more effective in a "will they won't they" deterrence capacity. He wants constant war and doesn't need nukes to get it.
Now what he might do is convince Trump to send nukes and pretend he had nothing to do with it. It's not like Trump is hard to manipulate and Miller probably loves the idea to begin with.
Prolongs their prosecutions and distracts public opinion as well as the attention thereof. Introducing a novel geopolitical climate would insulate them further in allowing them to hedge their grips on power to the new realities they introduce and define. In this case, nuclear war. Notably, this environment would allow for institutional and private wealth to make a fortune off of the volatility in global financial markets (which is already occurring) and further consolidate both wealth and power. There seems to be a 18-19 year cycle for this type of thing (Kuznets Cycle/Swing). IMHO If this scenario occurs it’ll be sometime between March 20th-28th or May 3rd-8th.
edit: goddamnit this timeline fucking sucks
If they beat the India-Pakistan tension. Both of them have nukes and could get very desperate with a war about resources, like water.