AskTransgender

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Is there any hope? (sh.itjust.works)

submitted 1 week ago by QueenHawlSera@sh.itjust.works to c/asktransgender@lemmy.blahaj.zone

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2026 Saw a bunch of states end the ability to update gender markers, with Kansas even revoking driver's licenses. The attacks from the Right are constant. We are being dehumanized and I just learned what V-Coding is....

The horrible things they're doing to our sisters in Federal Prison...

I fear in Trump's America, we are set to be dehumanized, criminalized, mocked, and sexually exploited. I worry that the fight for trans rights can only end in failure as the public turns on us for being too strange and too small in number to be worth caring about.

They call us pedophiles even as more of the Epstein files come out and reveal this is only true of Trump himself.

Leaving the country even seems unlikely as we're not allowed to have passports.

Is there any hope that we prevail in the future? Or are we absolutely fucked with the only hope that MAYBE, just MAYBE, Canada allows us to seek asylum.

I'm trying to hold on, but I'm beyond terrified and I just don't see any happy ending for us.

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[–] dandelion@lemmy.blahaj.zone 3 points 1 week ago* (last edited 1 week ago) (1 children)

And there are states wih bans on drag in public that are worded so vaguely that a AMAB person wearing a skirt counts as an “Overtly Sexual Display”, especially if a kid sees that…

I lived in one of those states, and that interpretation of the law is incorrect, the courts have a rather high standard and narrow interpretation of what is considered "harm to children"

as the ACLU clarifies:

The legal definition for “harmful to minors” is very narrow and only covers extreme sexual or violent content with no literary, artistic, or political value for minors.

These drag bans absolutely do not apply to trans people walking down the street, and these laws have been in place for years without any enforcement like you are describing. So far they mostly use the law's ambiguity to threaten legal action to shut down drag performances at pride parades, etc.

One of the fears I had as a trans person living in those states is that overnight I would wake up and the police could just try to the law as an excuse to go ahead and arrest trans people anyway, and then let the mess play out in the courts where conservative judges could find creative ways to ignore or work around the restraints on the law, but this is very unlikely and more just my fear talking than anything like an actual path forward for successful criminalization.

That said, I do think the most extreme anti-trans elements of the GOP are trying to push full criminalization as they can, but have mostly failed to get support even from their own party in the most anti-trans states. In 2025 Texas had a state bill proposed that would criminalize all trans people for "gender identity fraud" and they weren't even able to get it to a vote.

So, I'm not as confident as you that it's as certain as "when, not if", even if I do agree that we might see full criminalization happen in some states. (That's actually why I left my home and moved to a blue state, I anticipated under the Trump administration that the most anti-trans states will be more motivated to push for full criminalization.)

That said, my anticipation of quick criminalization has not yet come to fruition, and now I wonder why some of those states like Florida haven't even attempted it.

[–] QueenHawlSera@sh.itjust.works 2 points 1 week ago

Florida makes it so that if you're trans and in jail, they forcibly try to detransition you.

That was adopted by the Federal Prison System and made stricter. Trump also signed an order to bring back mental asylums.

I would be really surprised to learn that the plan WASN'T to have RFK Jr. announce a "pandemic of transness" to have anyone gender queer sent to these asylums.

I am in NC. I wanna try to move to Virginia if the chance presents itself.

While I don't think Gender Identity Fraud will become a crime in itself (Even Trump's supreme court would declare it a violation of the First Amendment). I know they're gonna try to make transition all but impossible.

I think they'll either claim its "Too sexual for the public" (Kinda like how they made being gay in public a crime by labeling public displays of affection a crime and selectively enforcing it) or have it declared a mental health epidemic.

I am amazed every Purple Or Red state hasn't jumped to copy Kansas. (Though many have stopped allowing people to update their IDs. And Indiana seems to be trying to revert them back to birth sex)

I really hope Gavin Newsom isn't the Democratic Nominee. While I think he can beat Vance, I can see him being to the right of Trump on trans issues.