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I am reminded of the USSR and it's entrance into open conflict with the Third Reich. Hitler made it very clear that the USSR was the target. The Soviets knew. But they made non-aggression pacts with them to buy time.

Stalin reached out to the Western governments and asked them to join forces against the Nazis but they refused. So the Soviets knew they couldn't rely on anyone else.

And then England broke their non-aggression pact and started fighting against Germany. The USSR didn't join then. They waited. And 18 months later the Nazis attacked.

Well, in those 18 months the Red Army quadrupled in size. That alone should explain it, honestly. The Soviets were just not ready in 1939 to take on the Third Reich.

US intelligence has been saying for some time now that by 2027 China will become unbeatable. If that's to be believed, then it's reasonable to see this as an echo of what happened in WW2. China is actually just not in a position to win yet. They risk too much by acting too early.