this post was submitted on 01 Mar 2026
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My parents and I left our home in the Gulf on Friday evening to visit family in Switzerland for my birthday last week. We were supposed to return today, but the airspace there is now closed. Do you think things will go back to business as usual soon?

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[–] kingofras@lemmy.world 30 points 2 days ago (1 children)

No. DJTs entire MO is pump and dump. This is a 10 day effort. All his military moves are hit and run. Now he will just to a bit more tweeting about how it will go on, both to appease the zionists and to stir unrest in the markets. When everything crashes enough or oil goes up enough because of Hormuz, he will back off, buy the dip and make more money for all his friends.

The pump and dumps are how he keeps everyone protecting him.

Not that the region will stabilise, but the US overt agressive involvement will probably be over by mid March.

[–] fizzle@quokk.au 12 points 2 days ago (2 children)

I agree with some components of this, but I think you're ascribing too much stategy and planning to Trump's chaotic egotistical whimsy.

I certainly agree that those in his orbit make loads of money by goading him into things and then buying the dip.

However, I don't think that his intention with these things at the outset is to create a dip. With the tariffs for example, I think he genuinely thought that they would stimulate the US economy, and probably still does. He was over-confident and thought he could stare down China, and he only chickened out because the oligarchs told him enough was enough.

I disagree that the pump and dumps are how he keeps everyone protecting him. He makes sure that oligarchs get plenty of tax cuts and no audits or investigations, and that they land lucrative contracts. In turn oligarchs donate to the campaigns of republicans. Everyone in the loop knows that their bread will only continue to be buttered in this fashion if they continue to support Trump. This is how every authoritarian regime ever has worked.

I have no idea what's going to happen in Iran. If the US withdraws in 10 days then wouldn't that create an ideal environment for ISIS or similar? I thought Trump's primary motivation for getting involved was to be able to declare a national emergency in November for the mid terms.

[–] kingofras@lemmy.world 6 points 2 days ago (1 children)

Fair points. I think you’re overestimating how much he still has to say.

Don’t forget he is tired, has tons of medical issues, in serious mental decline, and kinda hates the job. He’s only there because Jack Smith would have changed his KFC buckets for prison food.

The show is run by Jared, and a bunch of coke snorting or drinking sycophants. This one in particular is run by Rubio probably.

But at the end of the day, there’s no heart, no love or compassion. Just money and small dick syndrome.

Not to mention that the USA lost pretty much any war it was doing by itself or in hostile climates. There’s no coalition of the willing and once the Middle East warms up to Summer, it’s over.

To be clear I also do know, there was just this little bit of coke left on the toilet seat from the last guy and I briefly saw things with a bit more clarity.

[–] fizzle@quokk.au 2 points 2 days ago

Yeah I agree that hes over it.

Its all for the LOLs. Like there's not much thought or intent its just that he doesn't want to go to jail, and enjoys being the centre of attention.

If he thought ordering the deaths of a few million people would further either or both of those objectives, he would absolutely press that button on a whim.

[–] Maeve@kbin.earth 3 points 2 days ago

then wouldn't that create an ideal environment for ISIS or similar?

That's why Syrian Da'esh prisoners "mysteriously" "escaped" to Iraq.