this post was submitted on 23 Feb 2026
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Big brain tech dude got yet another clueless take over at HackerNews etc? Here's the place to vent. Orange site, VC foolishness, all welcome.
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Do we think that a pop of an AI bubble will not result in a massive wipe all across the board, not just with "AI enablers"? These companies are also going to lose value in a recession.
(IIUC) Like David said, it's a hedge against the bubble being real. GS certainly isn't pulling back from the void yet.
I also didn't say it's a good hedge. It'll stay uncorrelated right up to the moment you need it to, when it'll crash in lockstep.
Investing is all about relative performance. If you think 'AI' stocks are a bubble. you think that some other stocks will do better than them over the next five years, and you can allocate your assets accordingly.
But if both are going to get obliterated in the next five years then the hedge is to buy like, govt bonds. It doesn't matter if your fund goes down -20% when the entire market went -40%, you're still losing to the guy who kept his cash under his mattress.