this post was submitted on 12 Feb 2026
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[–] fizzle@quokk.au 16 points 22 hours ago (1 children)

I tend to agree.

Theres blood in the water and they've thrown her in to try to slake the shark's appetite.

The whole point of a fall person is to take the fall, and shes doing that well.

[–] cecilkorik@piefed.ca 10 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

I think the thing people need to come to terms with is that while we insist on playing everything by the book, because it's the right thing to do, they are playing by a completely different book that literally uses our own book against us. We continue playing right into their hands, and we're eventually going to have to change our playbook very drastically, and it's not going to be comfortable. We can't win this by continuing to play by the same book that got us here.

It seems like everyone's pinning their hopes on the midterms despite the clear evidence already available that not only are they in the process of being manipulated and rigged, and they've still got over half a year to be even more egregious about it, but even if they aren't or if they don't succeed, there's a good chance that the other side will make up their own numbers anyway and create a smoke screen of misinformation or simply refuse to follow the rules like they've already been doing this whole time. Even if Dems take back the house and the senate, where's their actual power to do anything about any of this? What actual enforcement mechanism can they actually implement that isn't procedural and "by the book", the exact same book that Trump's administration is ignoring?

"The book" and even "the constitution" is just words on paper, and we've entered an era where the sword is once again mightier than the pen. Where's our swords? If Trump starts doing everything by executive order again, continues stacking the deck in all the militarized federal law enforcement institutions to surround himself in his own personal gestapo and use them to enforce his executive orders, who's going to actually try anything to stop him? Who's going to be brave enough to take actual action against his militarized forces to stop him? And it's not enough to just have one guy or a handful willing to stand up to him. Yeah, maybe that will embolden some more to stand up to him, but you don't just need to have some guys stand up to him, you need to stand up and win against an army of violent thugs, you need your own army, and it needs to be a well-trained army that can actually beat these fuckers in direct combat. A bunch of angry guys shouting mean things in congress and the senate and courtrooms and hearings aren't going to stop him, no matter what book they think still matters. The violent thugs on the ground will not stop because of any book unless Trump's the one writing it. I think this is going to get real, real bad. I desperately hope to be wrong, but I'm not willing to concede that I am.

[–] fizzle@quokk.au 4 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

I can't disagree with any of that, but I'm reluctant to agree.

Yes, it's absolutely true that "going high" and "checks and balances" has absolutely failed. Repeatedly.

I also agree that republicans are doing everything they can to stack the midterms. I think the plan is, if the swing against Trump is large enough then it becomes extraordinarily difficult / impossible to obscure. My concern here is that if everything goes to plan and Trump can be somehow removed, and then the Dems win a decisive victory in 2028 (?) and you have a Dem POTUS... nothing will be wound back. They'll disappear the tariffs and normalise the economy, and set the stage for the a do-over with the next Republican government.

You may well be right about violent revolution, but I feel like there needs to be a very high level of desperation for people to organise against an oppressive regime, and I just don't think the US is anywhere near that.

[–] cecilkorik@piefed.ca 3 points 15 hours ago (1 children)

Depends who you're talking about. The US population doesn't yet seem to be anywhere near that, indeed, which is very unfortunate, because the US government, on the other hand, seems to be on a pretty clear 1938 trajectory. What happens when the government turns into a completely oppressive regime before the people are desperate enough to organize against it? Nazi Germany happens, and World War starts, because the government will be so far ahead of the people that they won't be able to effectively resist.

If you don't think the US population is anywhere near that, then I assume you must agree how urgent it is for the US population to get there really fucking quick.

If you don't think the US government is anywhere near that, then I assume you're simply in a different information bubble than I am, because, uh... it's fucking bad out there, dude. I'm constantly checking in with American friends to make sure they haven't been fucking kidnapped and disappeared, and instead of telling me I'm crazy, they've got the same concerns and they're grateful that someone is looking out for them. I've got friends in Minneapolis. I've got friends in El Paso. I've had to check in with both in the last week. The fucking scary shit isn't just an imaginary hypothetical, it's happening in real time.

[–] fizzle@quokk.au 2 points 12 hours ago

I agree that the trajectory does seem to be full mask-off nazism.

I also agree that the regime seems to be moving way more quickly than the population generally realises.

I am in a different information bubble, given that I'm an Australian never having visited the US. It's a train wreck I can't look away from, sorry.

From the outside Americans do seem to be either very unaware or very apathetic. Every week there are new headlines saying something like "new poll reveals that 52% of Americans worry that the economy may be on the wrong path", when it should be "100% of Americans are absolutely committed to jailing Trump and charging ICE officers".

That said, I don't begrudge any individual American for not taking action. If the same thing were happening here I would attend protests but I wouldn't endanger myself or my kids. I guess it really depends how close to home things got. If ICE were abducting neighbours that I didn't know, I might be out on the street with a whistle I guess.