this post was submitted on 12 Feb 2026
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WTF is really going on over there? They closed the airspace with no notice now they are shooting down party balloons. Someone is super nervous over there and has a hair trigger for a reason.
Not too long ago, I saw at least 8 F16s leave the Sioux Falls airport, headed south, in a single day.
More than that in total over several other days, blackhawks, chinooks, more f16s, etc.
This was not too long before the snatch and grab of Maduro.
My total guess would be we've got a lot more airframes than normal positioned at or near the southern border.
Beyond that... uh, aluminum foil type balloons basically show up quite brightly on radar screens and such... they're a lot like chaff.
So, if the computer systems attached to the radar system failed to flag it as 'probably a balloon or something', well, it could have just been blown along by the wind at approximately drone speeds, at approximately a drone altitude, on a trajectory that I guess looked hostile or suspicious.
And if it was a bunch of aluminum foil balloons, that could look like a drone formation or swarm, if they more or less got picked up by the same air current.
Apparently the explanation is 'we thought it was a cartel drone swarm'
So... yeah, itchy trigger finger, and it means aluminum foil party balloons are apparently, in at least some conditions, not able to be filtered out as party balloons by the involved radar/computer systems and/or whatever humans are in charge of making a call.
Or, who knows, maybe at this point it was fucking Grok that made the call, after all, Hegseth made a big show of incorperating xAI into as many military systems as possible.