news
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While the ground war has slowed quite a bit as it does every winter, the war in the air is as hot as ever. The recent Russian strikes on electrical infrastructure have crippled power in Kiev, so much so Zelensky announced a state of emergency. Although Ukraine has face power shortages in major cities before, they have never been this bad. Ukraine has been focusing on trying to do a 'Black Sea Blockade' by striking shipping bound for Russia. They seem to be mostly using long range aerial attack drones, so they have relatively small payloads that aren't enough to sink ships, but I'm sure shipping companies aren't to happy about it. Last weak Russia used it's nuclear-capable Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile for the second time to strike the Lviv State Aviation Repair Plant. Their is some hearsay about another Oreshnik strike happening soon, but it could be that the new long-range variant of the Iskander ballistic missile with a range 1000km, compared to the base variant which only has a range of 500km. Everything on the ground hasn't been entirely quite since winter began, Russian forces recently took control of Prymorske which puts them within 15km of the outskirts of Zhaporizhia, which is likely to be a target that the Russians advance towards in the coming year. The fight for Zhaporizhia, which had a prewar population nearly twice that of Mariupol, would be the largest city Russia has taken, although Ukrainian manpower may have degraded so much that taking the city won't require the same long siege that Mariupol did. It still take some time before the Russians get to that point as they will have to ford the Konka River and Russian forces from the east have around 70km to go through before they get to the city, so it could take until next year for the Russians to fully close in on the city. Other than Zhaporizhia, Russia has started another incursion into the Sumy region to relieve pressure on Kupiansk, which Ukraine had dedicate a large amount of manpower to recapture.