this post was submitted on 04 Jan 2026
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A Boring Dystopia
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Can we all go on polymarket and start a betting pool that Peter Thiel will not be violently assassinated by the end of the year?
Bad people don't die. The more evil you absorb the longer you live. Like Kissinger living to 100.
Because it has to be here.
I suspect it's the lack of stress due to being a sociopath. Not caring about others has to make life pretty easy in some respects.
Selection bias. Bad people die all the time, and then we forget about them (or never learn about them) because they stop being in the spotlight.
Nobody talks about the Koch Brothers or the Waltons anymore, as they've degraded to irrelevance. Nobody talks about the Carnegies or Fords or Hoovers anymore, for the same reason.
Steve Jobs was an evil fuck and he's gone now, so he's off the radar.
Meanwhile, nobody had Lucky Palmer pegged as a sociopath ten years ago and now he's doing James Bond Villain tier war crimes.
There are exceptions to the rule for example Rush Limbaugh and maybe soon Scott Adams.
Do I vote for or against to make it more likely?
The one who bets for Thiel being dead collects the money if that happens. They would also benefit from actually carrying out the deed. These markets are essentially crowdfunding for dirty stuff.
Or insurance against bad things continuing to happen.
You can, but you're going to want to have him in your sights before you place the bet