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this post was submitted on 11 Dec 2025
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There would need to be some significant political shift in Europe to patch things up with Russia, but China seems almost certain. That said, if the US actually bailed on Europe then I expect the current neoliberal parties to collapse and the EU along with them. At that point, individual countries could start making deals with Russia, especially if nationalist parties get in power.
I don't think theyd align with China either. The whole point of he EU was to maintain defacto independence during the cold war. If anything I expect them to invest more into ECOWAS and possibly try to stabilize + integrate Libya into their order.
When all else fails, the European solution: colonize.
that's what I expect as well
France is already using Nigeria to recolonized the AES. But the EC was created to coordinate european armies against the soviet union (there was a failed european defense community that would have made a european army subservient to the commander of NATO), independence from the us was only a goal by french and british (at first) elite. European unity has it historically developed to further US influence.