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On the one hand I think you could be right, but on the other hand, the average maga idiot has thought of portland as being “burnt to the ground” and non stop rioting for the last 5 years. Which makes no sense obviously. I dont think they will be rationalizing themselves out of a position that was irrational to begin with
Well, any event could be "the straw that breaks the camels back" for someone who is apathetic about politics or supports trump. No single protest or action is going to cause millions of people to suddenly flip, it's going to be more like a slow trickle.
(Of course, you can argue all day about it not being quick enough, or it not accomplishing its goals in time, but it's not like other methods would be particularly faster)