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There is a process called reconciliation that gets triggered in the senate in a budget impasse situation. I would say it typically involves a whole lot of horse trading but at the end is a bill that can pass with a simple majority. So I don't think either party will be able to drag this out indefinitely or just to the midterms.
Dragging this out generally is a bad idea for Democrats. The cult following of stable genius is going to accept the negative consequences longer as long as they get fed a narrative along the lines of "we prevent immigrants from getting health care and drain the swamp of lizard people." Or whatever. The Democrats will feel their feeble support dwindle when unpaid government workers are done with their savings, which will happen before the cult runs out of patience. The whole battle is mainly fought on the backs of people whose only fault was choosing a career in government. The Democrats will take pity on them and eventually agree to the least dehumanizing compromise you can negotiate at the "12th" hour.
Federal workers will get back pay. You’re parroting the right’s messaging. People wanted the left to fight.
Because of how the people gave the right all of the levers of government last election, this is one of the few areas where dems have any power to wield - senate needs 60% to pass any funding legislation.
You wanted a battle, the dems took it to the mattresses. We should be praising them for being bold and we, the left, should be seeking out those government workers who are struggling the most and doing gofundme’s to care for them. This is a war and they are soldiers on the front lines, directly in the line of fire. We need to be their support regiment.
Conversely, the right needs to feel the pain of what a lack of federal government looks like, because a lot of them don’t value it at all, because they don’t understand how it serves them. They only see it as “protection money” that come out of their paycheck. For them, we need to find the union workers who left the left. We need to gain back the dirt farmers in Montana, the disenfranchised Hispanics in Southern Texas and in the burroughs of NYC and the suburbanite moms in Bucks County. Moreover, we need to fight like hell to show that we give a damn and have a spine and that we will, we will, fight for them.
Back pay is not helping that much when your mortgage is on the line today/next month after you have exhausted all your savings. Of which I'm gonna guess post covid there aren't that much. Your soldiers are going to suffer bad. Your go fund me idea is honorable; I don't see it making enough of a dent. That would presuppose a level of knowledge among the general public, an awareness of these issues, and I don't see that either. In a way, it's that lack of awareness that gave the world Orange 2.0.
The Republicans have the stronger arm in this arm wrestle. I don't like it either. Their people don't care if you chop off their fingers if at the end they can say they owned the Dems. If education works here, go for it. I don't think the time frame is long enough for this to work. They've already swallowed veterans getting less health care and that their favorite valet José has been sent to El Salvador. Are grocery price increases not outpacing inflation? They aren't issue-based, they are vibe-based and the vibe is own the Dems.
In theory I agree with you. I'm not parroting anyone, I'm trying to look at this realistically. This is not the first shutdown rodeo. And it sucks if your team feels a certain level of responsibility to the country and all its people, which is more than I can see coming from the clown car load of people currently in charge. At some point the leadership of the Democrats will feel the damage to continue is going to hurt them more at the ballot box than to package a turd of a compromise in shiny wrapping paper. I want your vision of the Democrats but I think we'll get mine unfortunately.
Here's the problem: SCOTUS more or less Ok'd the previously illegal "pocket rescission".
This means the administration can literally decide to not fund anything appropriated by Congress. That makes negotiations for funding anything pointless. There has to be a line somewhere. At least (for now I think) the administration can't fund things without congressional approval. It's literally the only leverage Democrats have.
Dems should refuse to fund anything until pocket recissions are disallowed really.
Just make a law part of the funding bill, it's relatived afterall.
I don't doubt that. My crystal ball tells me they will compromise at some point for the good of the workers, for the good of the country - whichever line works best at that moment. I wouldn't want them to do that but I'm pretty sure it will pan out that way eventually.
Fuck your cave to r threats advice, fuck what dumbass voters think, real leaders make public opinion. Dems will cave to terroristic threats because ivy league suits tell the public what you just regurgitated.
When is the last time those suits were right about anything though? Not about the last election were they? Not about the 2024, 2020, or 2016 elections.