this post was submitted on 29 Jul 2025
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I'm not confident but I will say this is very difficult to implement in practice with how many systems rely on VPNs to function, namely thousands of busineses that are the backbone of our information economy.
I know this usually gets legislated around in countries where they're applied, such as demanding that VPN providers forfeit user privacy or deploy censors, or allowing corporations to bypass certain restrictions.
However, I would also point to the number of users here from countries where western services are banned alongside VPNs. For example, we have a few Iranian comrades, where VPNs outside of backdoored options are banned.
Enforcing these bans is hard to do, if the govt's current record on enforcing bans on torrenting/copyrighting content is to be observed. We must do what we can to disseminate the tools to bypass our governments!
I think it will be implemented as a compliance thing. Where enterprises will have the motivation and resources to go through a permitting process, and individuals will be either unable to use one, or the process will be very long and demoralizing. "Oi, you have a loicence for that VPN?" and so forth. It's also an easy way to jail any opsec-minded detractors.