this post was submitted on 13 Apr 2025
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One, I said they are no more commonplace than they were ten years ago.
Two, I never said LLMs will go away. In fact I said they have their uses. But, and I will say this again in stronger terms: They are stupid, rote memorizers. Their fundamental flaw is that they cannot apply intelligent, rational thought to novel problems. Using them in situations that require rational thought is a mistake. This is an architectural flaw, not a problem of data. Large language models predict text, they cannot think. They can give an illusion of thought by aping a large body of text that itself demonstrates thought processes, but the moment a problem strays from the existing high quality data, the facade crumbles, it produces nonsense, and it is clear that there never was any thought in the first place. And now that we've scraped all the text there is, the body of problems LLMs can imitate the solution for has reached its greatest extent. GPT will never lead to a rational agent, no matter how much OpenAI and co say it will.