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Russia pushing past Ukraine is pure nonsense. It's almost certain that Russia will not even want to hold all of Ukraine. However, the economic destruction of Europe over the past three years absolutely opens up the way for Russia to exert power over European politics now. People across Europe are now starting to realize what an utter debacle the war was, and that it has real consequences for them personally as they watch their standard of living collapse. This is naturally driving a backlash against the political establishment in Europe, and leading to parties that want to normalize relations with Russia becoming increasingly popular. So in a way this is becoming a self fulfilling prophecy, except Russia might be able to gain political capture of Europe without having to actually invade Europe.