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The state's national guard would only listen to the president if they view hin as legitimate. If the presidebt start saying: "I'm declaring martial law and ordering the arrest of these lawless democrat thugs to restore law an order" the state national guard would probably go "wait wtf?", then the Democratic Governor will declare those orders unconstitutional then tell the national guard to refuse federalization and listen to the state. Then the real test is to see who they listen to. That could decide the fate of the country.
Who did every active duty and veteran you know vote for, again?
You know, not every member of military voted trump. And even for those who did, they are just useful idiots who actually are stupid enough to believe that trump is good for the country, they might not realize he's actually trying to end democracy, they are just that dumb. My hope is that they will eventually realize it when trump start giving orders like "Kill Everyone Who Disagrees With Me" and refuse those orders.
I hope you're right. I suspect you're wrong.