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Trump lagging in early vote with seniors in Pennsylvania, a red flag for GOP
(www.politico.com)
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this post was submitted on 01 Nov 2024
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My money says this race won't be nearly as close as the polls suggest. Harris voters are far more motivated to keep Trump out than his supporters are to keep him in.
And a large chunk of the younger voters aren't responding to pollsters
I’m 57. I can’t count the number of SMS messages from “pollsters” that I’ve ignored over the past few months. And if the huge number of unknown callers I haven’t bothered to answer is any indication, then I’ve ignored many dozens of pollsters that way as well.
I'm 29 and have gotten zero lol
I'm in my 30s in a blue state. The only text I've received was from a MAGA fundraising campaign disguised as a poll.
Also in my 30s in a safe blue state, and despite being a donor to several dem/progressive candidates, I have received precisely zero poll/campaign texts. I can’t help but wonder if it has something to do with me dropping traditional social media when I was 23 and never touching my accounts again. I’m pretty sure Meta and Twitter think I died at age 23 and I’m totally ok with that.
Thanks for making me feel young again for not answering the six unknown phone calls I get every day.
I really need to move out of a swing state.
My wife got 16 texts yesterday. And we aren’t a swing state. I’m afraid to say citizens united has made it a nearly universal annoyance.
I don’t answer any calls but I sometimes get polls via text message. I’ll sometimes fill out the latter.
A huge chunk of informed traditional conservative voters in red areas aren't tipping their hand because of possible MAGA violence. Also, upper echelon Republicans want to defeat MAGA and regain control of their party but do not want to telegraph their votes.
No one should.
I also read many of the polls would refuse to count the youngest voters anyway, as they only want to count 'likely voters' and for some the criteria is 'having voted in real elections at least twice', which is impossible for people under 22.
my phone has been automatically marking their texts as spam 90% of the time so I doubt most people are
I'm pretty sure that's wrong. Remember that to Trump voters Harris is a woke China-loving communist n****r who'll destroy America. They're straight up fanatics.
Hasnt trump been called a really old Russia-loving fascist rapist who will destroy America?
I mean he is to an extent, which makes democrats at best about as motivated to vote as Republicans who aren't put off by Trump's policies (they exist, surprisingly). However, many democrats also either hate Harris in particular or hate the Democratic establishment as a whole, so in general I'd say Republicans are more motivated. Which make sense; if democrats were more motivated than Republicans this election would be a cinch.