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this post was submitted on 16 Oct 2024
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This report (https://slrpnk.net/post/14308357) came out, on the same day, about the IEA saying basically the opposite of this. It seems like they don't have a coherent story to tell.
Those two ideas don't clash
Energy use is outpacing renewables so we're still emitting more carbon than ever. When we manage to transition away from fossil fuels, the prices will drop and make that harder
The coherent message is: we can't save ourselves by letting the economics slowly play out
I suppose.
One story has the IEA saying global fossil fuel consumption will peak this decade.
The other says declining fossil fuel prices will inhibit the transition away from fossil fuel use.
You're right, the two things are consistent in that together they forecast a near-term peak followed be a very slow, drawn-out permanent decline.
I still think it would be much better journalism if the two things would both be discussed in the same news article.