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this post was submitted on 01 Oct 2024
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It's really not. Republicans have less support from less than 40% of the population, MAGAts are less than 20%. The Electoral College, Gerrymandering, and voter disenfranchisement are the only reason the election is around 50/50.
If the US election was done by a straight popular vote there would have only been a single Republican president since 1990, and it would have been 20 years ago.
You love misinterpreting facts into your favor, don't you?
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/us/elections/polls-president.html
That's talking about the Electoral College and chances of winning the election. I was talking about the popular vote, and specifically mentioned that without the Electoral College Republicans wouldn't have a chance.
Please, point out to me, in the methodology of the poll, which is provided at the bottom of the page, where is it stated that 46/49 numbers are some arbitrary chances of winning the election?
My reading is that they're averages of other polls that are polling popular vote, e.g. simply asking "which candidate would you vote for if the elections were tomorrow?".
But, please, I'm happy to be proven wrong.
Please, point out to me where it says they have polled the popular vote. I don't see anywhere that states the question being asked, but I do see the headline: Explore Electoral College scenarios