It's gonna be down to the wire imo.

Kamala has lost steam and there's such desperation from the voteshamers that I think most of her supporters have at least some degree of latent awareness that she isn't capable of drawing in support outside of her base, either to the right of her or to the left.

Donald is low energy but almost all of his base is willing to hold their nose and vote for him, which drives the Blue MAGA crowd wild with envy. I really don't look at that end of US politics much at all because it's gross and I don't have the stomach for it, plus it achieves nothing whereas there's a chance I might be able to peel off the occasional progressive whereas conservatives are low yield per input so my take is that it's a waste of time focusing on them. (Don't get me wrong I'll agitate anyone opportunistically, even a diehard Trump supporter, but I'm really not focusing my energy on honing my rhetoric and hooking in to their primary concerns because there are much easier targets out there.)

I think in it being such a close race it's probably going to come down to one of those key states falling to one side or the other and who really knows which way the chips are going to fall in that situation?

If Trump wins I think he'll lose the popular vote though.

If this happens, I'm going to blame the Dems for how they had the opportunity to abolish the electoral college, to make the presidential election a popular vote, and establishing ranked-choice voting to instead push through military aid and financial relief to support the genocide in Gaza as their top priority which means Joe Biden chose this and now we have to respect that choice and live with the consequences of it because Biden and Harris didn't want to listen to the voter base.