Image is a snapshot taken from the recent Hezbollah video "Our Mountains, Our Treasures", showcasing their extensive underground fortifications, supply lines, and weaponry.
iran can't keep doing this to me, they've gotta respond soon, right? I'm gonna run out of analysis about countries soon, oh god
The COTW (Child of the Week) label is designed to spur discussion and debate about a specific child every week in order to help the community gain greater understanding of the domestic situation of often-understudied children. If you've wanted to talk about the child or share your experiences, but have never found a relevant place to do so, now is your chance! However, don't worry - this is still a general news megathread where you can post about ongoing events from any child.
The Child of the Week is Hassan LargePenis! He is chad-and-cuck rater and general commenter @LargePenis@hexbear.net's son, born over a month ago. @Greenleaf@hexbear.net recommended I have him as the COTW for a week and I finally got around to it.
Please check out the HexAtlas!
The bulletins site is here!
The RSS feed is here.
Last week's thread is here.
Israel-Palestine Conflict
Sources on the fighting in Palestine against Israel. In general, CW for footage of battles, explosions, dead people, and so on:
UNRWA daily-ish reports on Israel's destruction and siege of Gaza and the West Bank.
English-language Palestinian Marxist-Leninist twitter account. Alt here.
English-language twitter account that collates news (and has automated posting when the person running it goes to sleep).
Arab-language twitter account with videos and images of fighting.
English-language (with some Arab retweets) Twitter account based in Lebanon. - Telegram is @IbnRiad.
English-language Palestinian Twitter account which reports on news from the Resistance Axis. - Telegram is @EyesOnSouth.
English-language Twitter account in the same group as the previous two. - Telegram here.
English-language PalestineResist telegram channel.
More telegram channels here for those interested.
Various sources that are covering the Ukraine conflict are also covering the one in Palestine, like Rybar.
Russia-Ukraine Conflict
Examples of Ukrainian Nazis and fascists
Examples of racism/euro-centrism during the Russia-Ukraine conflict
Sources:
Defense Politics Asia's youtube channel and their map. Their youtube channel has substantially diminished in quality but the map is still useful.
Moon of Alabama, which tends to have interesting analysis. Avoid the comment section.
Understanding War and the Saker: reactionary sources that have occasional insights on the war.
Alexander Mercouris, who does daily videos on the conflict. While he is a reactionary and surrounds himself with likeminded people, his daily update videos are relatively brainworm-free and good if you don't want to follow Russian telegram channels to get news. He also co-hosts The Duran, which is more explicitly conservative, racist, sexist, transphobic, anti-communist, etc when guests are invited on, but is just about tolerable when it's just the two of them if you want a little more analysis.
On the ground: Patrick Lancaster, an independent and very good journalist reporting in the warzone on the separatists' side.
Unedited videos of Russian/Ukrainian press conferences and speeches.
Pro-Russian Telegram Channels:
Again, CW for anti-LGBT and racist, sexist, etc speech, as well as combat footage.
https://t.me/aleksandr_skif ~ DPR's former Defense Minister and Colonel in the DPR's forces. Russian language.
https://t.me/Slavyangrad ~ A few different pro-Russian people gather frequent content for this channel (~100 posts per day), some socialist, but all socially reactionary. If you can only tolerate using one Russian telegram channel, I would recommend this one.
https://t.me/s/levigodman ~ Does daily update posts.
https://t.me/patricklancasternewstoday ~ Patrick Lancaster's telegram channel.
https://t.me/gonzowarr ~ A big Russian commentator.
https://t.me/rybar ~ One of, if not the, biggest Russian telegram channels focussing on the war out there. Actually quite balanced, maybe even pessimistic about Russia. Produces interesting and useful maps.
https://t.me/epoddubny ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/boris_rozhin ~ Russian language.
https://t.me/mod_russia_en ~ Russian Ministry of Defense. Does daily, if rather bland updates on the number of Ukrainians killed, etc. The figures appear to be approximately accurate; if you want, reduce all numbers by 25% as a 'propaganda tax', if you don't believe them. Does not cover everything, for obvious reasons, and virtually never details Russian losses.
https://t.me/UkraineHumanRightsAbuses ~ Pro-Russian, documents abuses that Ukraine commits.
Pro-Ukraine Telegram Channels:
Almost every Western media outlet.
https://discord.gg/projectowl ~ Pro-Ukrainian OSINT Discord.
https://t.me/ice_inii ~ Alleged Ukrainian account with a rather cynical take on the entire thing.
the betting markets are swinging back toward Trump:
https://electionbettingodds.com/
did the convention go badly or something?
There was more Gaza protesting than they probably expected, and the party platform is doing nothing to address that. Coupled with the fact that it looks like there will be no ceasefire and Genocide Joe is unwilling to hold Israel to account, that means the war will probably continue up to the election, which is bad for Democrats. Also, the full time employment number just had the largest downwaeds correction in something like 15 years and the Sahm rule indicator was triggered earlier this month (recession indicator that has never really been wrong). There's a good chance we are either already in a recession or about to be in one.
I'd attribute it more to the strong rumours online that RFK is about to drop out and endorse Trump to get a spot in Trump's hypothetical administration lmao
I hope they put him in charge of something important like the FDA just so that he completely fucks it up and accelerates the collapse of this hell hole
My bet is small businesses administration, Trump gave Vince McMahon's wife that spot last time. (Still objectively hilarious that the famously competition destroying monopolist WWE was in charge of that)
Lol that's so on the nose
Completely intentional
RFK FDA - Brainworms for all
I'll voat for that
In what world was that not priced in this whole time?
The odds on political bets are usually reflective of short term sentiment. I got 10/1 on Theresa May two weeks before she was elected Tory leader. The prices are driven by bets placed not by analysis, and bets are made by people reacting to whatever’s in the current news cycle.
I think the zero-thoughts chuds are just dumbfounded to see radicals protesting the Democrats too. I don't think the situation has changed substantively.
Just seems like a reversion to the mean. The odds swung too far to Harris and it's getting corrected now. Not really anything to pay attention to
Bear in mind predictit has kamala at 56 cents and these betting markets are generally Europeans. Predictit is americans only and the community there already has a lot of right wing gamblers. She's holding steady on metaculus at 55% also; I think Europeans are a lot more skeptical of Americans not putting trump back in(I can understand this though lol)
How good are the RCP odds?
It’s just a good time to make bank on Kamala ig because the DNC will be out of the news by the end of the week