terrific

I'm not saying that we can't ever build a machine that can think. You can do some remarkable things with math. I personally don't think our brains have baked in gradient descent, and I don't think neural networks are a lot like brains at all.

The stochastic parrot is a useful vehicle for criticism and I think there is some truth to it. But I also think LMMs display some super impressive emergent features. But I still think they are really far from AGI.

I definitely think that's remarkable. But I don't think scoring high on an external measure like a test is enough to prove the ability to reason. For reasoning, the process matters, IMO.

Reasoning models work by Chain-of-Thought which has been shown to provide some false reassurances about their process https://arxiv.org/abs/2305.04388 .

Maybe passing some math test is enough evidence for you but I think it matters what's inside the box. For me it's only proved that tests are a poor measure of the ability to reason.

This is a very good point since tritium is a very limited resource.

The hope is that it will be generated by the fusion reactor itself using tritium breeder blankets https://www.iter.org/machine/supporting-systems/tritium-breeding

Whether that will work remains to be seen.

Do you have any expertise on the issue?

I hold a PhD in probabilistic machine learning and advise businesses on how to use AI effectively for a living so yes.

IMHO, there is simply nothing indicating that it's close. Sure LLMs can do some incredibly clever sounding word-extrapolation, but the current "reasoning models" still don't actually reason. They are just LLMs with some extra steps.

There is lots of information out there on the topic so I'm not going to write a long justification here. Gary Marcus has some good points if you want to learn more about what the skeptics say.

We're not even remotely close. The promise of AGI is part of the AI hype machine and taking it seriously is playing into their hands.

Irrelevant at best, harmful at worst 🤷

Terrific!

Wow. It sounds like something out of PKD's VALIS. Which of my memory serves me right is thought to have been an outlet for the author's paranoid delusions.

ChatGPT is probably one of the most dangerous catalysts to psychosis, and almost completely unchecked at this point.

Stonetoss is a nazi.

Neural networks are about as much a model of a brain as a stick man is a model of human anatomy.

I don't think anybody knows how we actually, really learn. I'm not a neuro scientist (I'm a computer scientist specialised in AI) but I don't think the mechanism of learning is that well understood.

AI hype-people will say that it's "like a neural network" but I really doubt that. There is no loss-function in reality and certainly no way for the brain to perform gradient descent.

I know it's part of the AI jargon, but using the word "learning" to describe the slow adaptation of massive arrays of single precision numbers to some loss function, is a very generous interpretation of that word, IMO.

I'm a computer scientist that has a child and I don't think AI is sentient at all. Even before learning a language, children have their own personality and willpower which is something that I don't see in AI.

I left a well paid job in the AI industry because the mental gymnastics required to maintain the illusion was too exhausting. I think most people in the industry are aware at some level that they have to participate in maintaining the hype to secure their own jobs.

The core of your claim is basically that "people who don't think AI is sentient don't really understand sentience". I think that's both reductionist and, frankly, a bit arrogant.

Proton is pretty good and covers IMO the most critical parts of the Google ecosystem. I made the move a couple of weeks ago and it has been pretty easy, honestly.