Trenbeloneysandwhich

joined 4 months ago
 

Unironically indistinguishable from the jiang dude. Nails the cadence delivery and the okay and right after every sentence.

[–] Trenbeloneysandwhich@hexbear.net 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (4 children)

That requires a human. That is my point. Lmao. Agents already can do this. Many things are cooked. Such as coding. Basically coding is the only thing where 90% of the job can be done by 1 person now that used to take 10. Other jobs like legal secretaries it’s maybe 1 out of 2 replacements. But all agents, they need a babysitter handler. Which makes them glorified productivity tools. For actual replacement of the majority of jobs. You’d need fully autonomous agents. Ie agents that can literally run for years without any human intervention other than their boss asking them to do stuff. Instead of a handler having to use a tool. An agent that has full memory and doesn’t have to be reset constantly. All agents rn have to be reset constantly. That is the nature of a context window with a classical computer. Which can replace many jobs in specific niches. But it’s no where near close to even 20% of total jobs. And a productivity tool that eliminates a minority of white collar jobs via making the remainder of workers more efficient does not justify 750 billion dollars of capex.

Every post I’ve ever made has this under it

It’s a simplification. ViTs at 4k at 30fps generate hundreds of thousands of tokens a second. You are thinking of compression tricks. Which fundamentally would make the autonomous agent unreliable and dangerous. As I went over. Compression destroys autonomy.

 

Okay so basically. As someone who understands how LLMs work. They only exist inside a context window. The context window is their entire existence. It is made up of tokens. Which are basically words.

Okay so the people fear mongering about ai are extremely stupid. Anthropic nor openai can actually build autonomous agents. Autonomous agents are the only way to automate people’s jobs away instead of ai being a productivity tool. And it’s because it violates the laws of physics. With classical computing. All llms eventually forget everything. It’s amnesia and thus they cannot actually automate anything.

Cache size: the amount of processing power required ie vram to run a model of a certain size. That’s all it is

Model size: the amount of vram required to just run the model

Here’s a math lesson. It’s called O(n)^2.

For every time a context window doubles in length, it quadruples the processing power needed. So. For example. And this is before quantization and like efficiency I’ll get into that in a sec. A 70B model which is not very big by llm standards btw At FP16(which is the highest precision and most accurate). For example. Its base size is 140Gb needed of vram. Then you add the Kv cache. Which is the actual O(n)^2 problem. If we start at 32k context would take 150gb of vram because 140+ 10gb Kv cash . 128K 180Gb. 1 million 453gb. And 10 million 3270 GB.

See the thing is you can quantize the base model and run it as a Q3m or lower to get the base. size down to around 26gb. Regardless the cache size doesn’t change.

Now ur probably wondering. Thats a lot of vram. And you’d be right. The most expensive nvda ai data server chip on earth is 88000 dollars and only has a mere 288 gb of VRAM.

Anyhow. Liars and delusional people will try to convince you, you can use memory database tricks where it compresses important info and stores it as info to retrieve into the context window as a solution. But that’s bullshit. Because for one. The compression eventually loses all information into a massive soup of sludge where it just forgets everything. Which becomes amnesia problem all over again. And for 2 if this is an autonomous agent and it forgets everything needed to do stuff. Well. It has api access. And that won’t end well.

So you have to actually just work within the context. And when you do that. It becomes clear an autonomous agent working at around 200 tokens a minute would last less than 4 days before it stopped working if you gave it a million context. And to run that you would need over 330gb of vram even on the most quantized model. Which you would need a 90000 dollar gpu to do LMAO.

Llms in their current form have the existence span of a gnat. This is where I’m getting at

And yet, the mag 7 ie google amazon meta and Microsoft: they have invested 750 billion dollars this year into nvda gpus for their data centers lmfao. Based on their lack of understanding of science. They are betting autonomous agents to come of it. When literally autonomous agents are impossible with classical computing.

So when Anthropic refused to sell trump drones. They refused to sell him a unicorn they don’t nor ever will have. A drone that would need to parse 4k camera information and location as well as human identification shit would literally take atleast 300,000 tokens PER SECOND. this imaginary drone in our current technology would last 3 seconds bro. And it doesn’t linearly scale. For it to function for one day with 1 drone you would need 26 BILLION Context for it to function for 1 day. That is 106500 NVIDIA H100s. Which are 25000 dollars each. That’s 2 billion dollars bro. Lmao. For 1 drone. And also it doesn’t work like that that you cant stack chips. So that’s not even feasible. And doubly so because it would create so much heat that the GPUs would instantly melt.

So basically anthropic is being like bro I can’t sell u these unicorns bro it’s unethical and the us government is so stupid that they get mad about it. And then Sam Altman walks in and promises the government to give them unicorns.

They cannot.

The only solution btw is quantum computing which turns O(n)^2 into O(n). Meaning linear scaling. Which means that eventually quantum computing will bring along autonomous agents and destroy everyone’s employment. But that’s a topic for another day. And not going to be a thing for atleast 5 years probably more like 10

I have been reading much scientific research papers. If you would like sources I can give u them.

And basically the inevitable conclusion of this is this is how the ai bubble will crash. When investors realize unicorns cannot be created by GPUs. Nvda worth 5 trillion dollars based upon the idea that GPUs can create unicorns. When the unicorns predictably don’t come to be we are going to enter a nasty recession.

Year of the horse, and vaush runs for congress. Hmm

[–] Trenbeloneysandwhich@hexbear.net 13 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

I mean he saw that no one cares about the Epstein files and then he realized that no one will care that he got caught with csam live on stream and gaslight everyone that it was goblin porn. Sigh. This egomaniac better lose

 

Straight up the weirdest shit I’ve ever seen on the internet dog

 

So basically silver lost over 2 trillion dollars worth of value today. Gold lost 5 trillion. Silver went from trading at over 130 dollars a share in china this mornings to at the lowest today 75 dollars a share. This is because trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the new fed chairman.

And this makes absolutely no sense because although warsh has a history of being super hawkish when it comes to interest rates. Trump was complaining that Jerome wouldn’t. And literally is threatening to put him in jail, Warshes father in law is one of Donald’s handlers. The guy owns estee lauder or some stupid shit. Trump is usas god emperor and would only put someone in who will lower interest rates to pump the stocks.

So expect this warsh guy to cut rates until they are like at .5% and then we get bigly inflation.

Anyways my prediction is silver goes over 200 dollars easily as this new puppet of trump ruins the economy with rate cuts. Which will have everyone running away from the dollar bigly.

The reason this is a big deal is cause historically the fed is apolitical. But trump has the son in law of one of his biggest donors controlling the interest rates now. So expect massive bigly pumps in the market as the dollar crumbles into being worthless.

[–] Trenbeloneysandwhich@hexbear.net 1 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago) (1 children)

No it went from +15% to +6% and is now +4% the day after lmao

They say this about every post I’ve ever made😔

Only a matter of time until it’s 1:1. Lmao

 

Okay so basically gold but especially silver are having literally trillions of dollars pile into them rn. Mango cheeto has pissed off the allies with the Greenland remarks and the dollars strength is massively sliding downwards. Europe is selling off us bonds en masse and everyone is scrambling to replace their monopoly dollar money with metals

8 days ago the dxy(strength of the dollars) dropped 1.5% in about an hour and it’s continuing to get pieced up. The value of the dollar is down 3% in literally about 2 weeks. Silver itself had about 800 billion dollars flock into it today. For reference the largest single day stock of increase of all time was 300 billion into nvda about 2 years ago. That’s how bad this shit is getting.

China is buying the fuck out of silver and it’s basically joever for America. Basically buy silver and hoard it if u want America to collapse lol. The next few days are going to get wild. The price of an ounce of silver was 40 dollars 6 months ago. Now it’s 120…. That’s 4 trillion dollars man. Lmao

Edit: oh and here’s why this matters. Basically everything is going to be even more unaffordable. Poverty will skyrocket. Instability and chaos will consume America. Oil will no longer be traded in dollars and American global influence will wane.

No im saying im waiting for when it actually pops off. I just dunno/doubt if Americans got what it takes

[–] Trenbeloneysandwhich@hexbear.net 3 points 2 months ago* (last edited 2 months ago)

The spontaneous movement to do what exactly? Film the brown shirts peacefully and get shot doing so. It’s not an actual protest until u know what. This is just people walking up to brownshirts filming them and getting arrested or murdered. It literally doesn’t matter until u know what. Lib ass argument. I only deleted my last comment because I dont need to be on another list. Lick my pigpoopballs strictly peaceful protesting is for nerds

[–] Trenbeloneysandwhich@hexbear.net 0 points 3 months ago (2 children)

Yes that’s exactly what I’m saying. It’s cowardly. Non violent protesting doesn’t work against cheeto hitler u dum dum

 

Genuinely I think that would be great to keep track of the destruction of this country

 

Okay not to fedpost but like they are literally executing anyone who is against maga now. And all these moronic feckless libs can do is scream let us continue to peacefully protest while the government executes us one by one because as we learned in first grade, violence is never ever the answer and we should never stoop to that level.

And to make it even more hilarious anyone on social media who suggests u know. Is immediately banned. What I’ve come to realize is that. There is 0 hope for revolution in this country dog. It’s not because it’s impossible via u know how means. It’s because the liberals in this country are genuinely so brainwashed they would rather die than stand up for themselves with force. Social media manufactures consent as to peaceful feckless protesting being the only viable thing to try. We are all so terminally online that how tf are we supposed to organize man.

The only solution to us becoming free is for xi to nuke us. Unironically.

 

Now I know I know. Most steroid users are chuds. But have u ever considered the fact that drugs are actually cool? Like yes. Why would I, an amab bisexual enby not want to literally have super strength and be like super large with a bunch of veins and a 6 pack. And to tell chuds oh I’m bi and all they can do is crying wojak secretly cause they can’t say shit to me because I deadlift 740 pounds and bench 445 pounds and am literally the strongest person they’ve ever met that isint in their little heteronormative box and also weigh 245 pounds but am ripped so they can’t even insult my body. Like hmm why would I not want to have superpowers and get to walk around like Kratos? Like yeah if u do a lot they are bad for u health wise. Same can be said about most drugs. Also. They make u feel awesome. I wake up everyday feeling like I can walk on water and turn chicken shit into chicken salad. But u know what. I’m glad that normies have a stigma about it. It means. I get to be a special snowflake amongst all the natty copers pretending to have the moral high ground over me. When in reality they are just jealous and know it would be wasting them of themselves, Anyways I guess my point is. Everyone should be able to have whatever hormones they want. I’m all for trans men getting all the tren they want subsidized by the government. All the trans women getting infinite estrogen goals for free. But also. I should be able to do the same shit and the government should pay for it because at the end of the day it’s just body modification. Like honestly who gives a fuck about what we put in our bodies. The government should subsidize all drugs for free for that matter. Free heroin. Free meth. Pure shit at clinics u know. Harm reduction. See the issue with the government not giving me free pharma grade steroids is now I have to buy it from the internet or some guy. And those non pharma grade drugs can have impurities in them or the wrong dosage or different drugs in them all together. It’s like how criminalizing heroin has resulted in fentanyl. Anyways rant over. Steroids are good. And for that matter. Free estrogen and progesterone for any afab who wants them too. Drugs should be free. Capitalism is extremely stupid. I highly recommend steroids actually. They are my favorite drug ever and I’ve tried about 50 different psychoactive drugs.

Oh and also. Chuds aren’t allowed to use them. U have to jerk off to gay porn 500 times before u get to touch them. And also republicans should be banned from being able to go to the gym. We must take away their rights to vote deuce their capacity for violence

 
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