Kirk

Oh man, I suspected that was artificial! 😡

I'm wondering if you have the "cookie notices" and "annoyances" filters disabled? They are not checked by default. It's under settings > filter lists. FWIW the page loaded cleanly for me.

They're essentially making the argument that if you accept that a civilization can eradicate itself (via nuclear war, climate change, plague, a generation of ipad kids, etc etc) even if you calculate that chance of eradication to be infinitesimally small, then given cosmic time scales it becomes a near inevitability.

But if you choose to believe (without evidence) that an interstellar civilization exists that definitionally can't be eradicated by any means then yes, definitionally that civilization will persist.

Sort of. The article is making the argument that on a cosmic timescale, one won't even need a "great filter" to explain Fermi's paradox. Any civilization with even a minuscule chance of eradicating itself will eventually do so given billions of years.

We don't have evidence that civilizations on other worlds exist at all, but you are saying we should be working under the assumption that these things we don't have evidence for can't self-eradicate?

Nobody is stopping you

If they are coming from Windows: Kinoite

If they are coming from Macintosh: Silverblue

Something I've been realizing lately is that fascism's whole deal is adopting the appearances of trustworthy institutions like universities, activism and TV news (and apparently scientific papers) but the goal isn't to inform it's to persuade. All the bullshit ultimately leads to the same path.

I have every single one memorized but typing the entire paths in with my TV remote is taking a long time.

The paper this article links to just assumes a “probability of self-annihilation” without actually addressing the “how”

Is that really such a strange perspective? Surely you must accept the idea that even without knowing every possible mechanism of death, the probability of death for every lifeform we have ever encountered approaches 100% over time.

I'm guessing you didn't read the article, but the answer to your question is "sort of" if the "filter" in question is civilization itself.