The point is that if Harris wins, then Hakeem Jeffries will likely be House Speaker on January 6
I literally quoted the linked article
No, you didn't see this poll predicting Hillary crushing Iowa.
The Selzer poll is one of the best, it only looks at Iowa, and in 2016 it was one of the few that said Trump was doing much better than everyone expected.
In 2020 it said Biden was doing better than Clinton, but Trump was nevertheless doing better than expected.
In both cases, it was spot on. And this year, it says Trump is doing far worse than everyone thinks.
That said... Go vote!
Right, LV polls often don't ask where you voted.
But this article is not about a poll. They are looking publicly available PA voting records. They look like this:
PA isn't going to cross-reference their database with other states. So there is no good way to tell if Jane Doe is a first time voter or just a recent move. Either way, she is a new voter.
That's huge because new voters aren't counted by pollsters as "likely voters".
Actually, they might be. In this article, a "new voter" is someone who did not vote in 2020 in Pennsylvania.
If they voted elsewhere in 2020 (ie recently moved to PA) then they could be counted as likely voters in polls even though they are "new voters".
Musk Deportation Now!
That's not how it works.
When the EV's for a state are counted, the House and Senate have one opportunity to object.
If there is an objection, a vote is called. A majority in both houses is necessary to reject those EVs.
If there is not a majority in both houses then the motion fails, the EV's are accepted, and the VP moves on to the next state.
enthusiasm doesn't pay the bills
We don't need your platitudes either
When the votes are counted, the presiding officer will be VP Kamala Harris, not the House Speaker.
And the only way to block a state's certification is if both the House and Senate agree. Otherwise they have to accept the results certified by the governor.
A ridiculous ruling, but fortunately Virginia has same-day registration. So if you show up to vote and find you've been purged, you can immediately re-register.
It's not necessarily legal.
The judge hasn't ruled yet on whether Musk broke the law. He simply declined to issue a preliminary injunction.
A preliminary injunction tells someone to stop what they are doing while the court case plays out. In order to get a preliminary injunction, you have to convince a judge that there will be irreparable harm by letting someone continue.
In other words, a judge might rule against an injunction but nevertheless end up ruling against the defendant. Especially if the judge thinks the harm has already been done.