this post was submitted on 30 Jul 2026
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Republicans admit the GOP's midterm forecast is bleak. But they're clinging to two hopes: voters' fear and loathing of Democrats.

"It's going to be a hate election," a Republican tied to President Trump's political operation told Axios. "Voters have to hate the Dems more than they hate us. And we have material to work with."

Why it matters: There's broad GOP frustration that Trump has made challenging midterm elections worse by not focusing heavily on pocketbook issues — especially the tax cuts Republicans won — while launching the Iran war, which raised gas prices and fueled inflation.

Trump's prime-time speech Thursday night about China's alleged influence campaign targeting U.S. voters six years ago did little to assuage those concerns.

"I have yet to understand how we win the midterms by talking about what happened in 2020," Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) told Axios.

The Republicans' plan will probably work too. Hate is the opiate of the masses. Some say its religion, but religion is merely a syringe.

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[–] partial_accumen@lemmy.world 52 points 1 month ago (3 children)

"Sure we're openly shooting American citizens lawfully demonstrating against government overreach, but the Democrats want people to be able to go to the bathroom without us looking at their genitalia. Vote GOP this fall."

  • Republican political ad probably
[–] frustrated_phagocytosis@fedia.io 16 points 1 month ago

I received a flyer with multiple brags about how actively transphobic and anti-immigrant a candidate was during the last election cycle

[–] Notyou@sopuli.xyz 6 points 1 month ago

the Democrats want people to be able to go to the bathroom without us looking at their genitalia.

Oh great! So that are destroying jobs too. In this economy!

[–] isleepinahammock@lemmy.blahaj.zone 3 points 1 month ago (2 children)

Despite that, the Democratic party has a lower approval rating than Trump. People see Trump as evil. They see Democrats as shiftless empty suits that believe in nothing.

[–] dreamkeeper@literature.cafe 1 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

A lot of us who disapprove of the party are still going to vote for them. It doesn't mean anything.

[–] isleepinahammock@lemmy.blahaj.zone 2 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)
[–] dreamkeeper@literature.cafe 3 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

The political situation is way different now than it was in 2024. Running as the incumbent party in an inflationary environment is always an uphill battle. The GOP should've won by more than they did. They barely gained control of the house

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[–] raze2012@lemmy.world 2 points 4 weeks ago (4 children)

Everything Kamala said turned out to be true. If people have seen 2 years of this and still think "both sides are the same", they clearly already picked their side.

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[–] partial_accumen@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago (15 children)

I too, am disappointed in the lack of action from the DNC, and even worse the actions the DNC are taking to bridle the DSA who are actually pushing change forward. However, a "do nothing" DNC is safer than the actively destructive GOP.

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[–] orclev@lemmy.world 48 points 1 month ago (1 children)

So the standard election strategy for the GOP. It's always hate, they just change up who it's targeted at. Recently it's been a mix of "immigrants" (I.E. non-white people), muslims (once again non-white people), trans people (the easier target in the LGBT sphere now that gay and lesbian people are broadly accepted), and of course the perennial favorite Democrats (and if they're feeling spicy they accuse anyone left of Fox News of being a communist).

I've been around a long time now and this has been the GOP playbook literally since Reagan if not longer. Reagan was a slight break from the norm for them in that he focused on the debunked and incredibly damaging trickle down economic theory (something they've continued to pursue since then leading to our current late stage capitalism that's teetering on the edge of collapse).

[–] jabeez@lemmy.today 7 points 1 month ago

Seriously, my first thought when seeing this, like how the fuck is this at all different than any other election since....ever?????

[–] Z745812939054@lemmy.zip 20 points 1 month ago (1 children)

after 2024 every article could spit out "trump down by 3786728764 points" and i'm not assuming shit until the wednesday after. maybe not even then, since his favorite hobby after shitting his pants is trying to overturn elections

[–] NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io 6 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Two bucks from me that he'll launch a coup of some sort if he doesn't get his way in the midterms. Or that enough democrats will capitulate that he'll get his way anyway, whichever is closer.

[–] mrmisses@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

My theory is: Dems win, make him a lame duck, he ignores all the rules while blaming Dems for 2 years, pumps the world full of propaganda for 2 years, the racists come out in droves for the next presidential election that trump has rigged and they resume control.

[–] NoneOfUrBusiness@fedia.io 3 points 1 month ago

Problem is: It's not that MAGA wants to be in charge (though that's a thing too); it's that Trump needs to be in charge. First so he (not just MAGA, he) can become the fascist dictator of his dreams, but also so he can avoid prison. Remember, Trump already has charges for which he's going to prison as soon as he's out of the presidency. Trump is too demented and too incompetent to play a "power behind the throne" type of game with a puppet president, so his personal ambitions will never materialize unless he's the one in charge. He simply can't afford to be a lame duck president, and we already know he's a (more or less; Trump doesn't actually believe in anything) fascist who has no qualms about overturning democracy.

[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 12 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago) (1 children)

Isn't that what they've been doing for the last 20 years?

Or is this admitting Trump's utter failure with that line "more than they hate us"?

[–] defaultusername@lemmy.dbzer0.com 4 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Longer than that. Reagan coined the term "welfare queen".

[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 2 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Yes but it really kicked into high gear when clutches pearls a half black man won the presidency. Guess I should say 18 years but meh.

[–] defaultusername@lemmy.dbzer0.com 1 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago) (1 children)

Nixon's aide famously admitted in the 90s that the entire point of the War on Drugs was to go after black people, Jews, and hippies.

The racism on the right is nothing new. It's their main form of divide and conquer alongside sexism and anti-LGBT bigotry and fearmongering.

[–] someguy3@lemmy.world 2 points 4 weeks ago

Yes but when a half black man won the highest office in the entire country their heads exploded. There was a real shift at that point. Fox went off their rocker. I'm telling you, that was a changing point.

[–] Funkt4st1c@lemmy.world 8 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Good. The democrats tried that after forcing Kamala on us. Kamalas whole campaign was "Guys trump is really bad pls vote for me" and it was doomed from the start.

You havr to actually have political goals. Theres an absurd fear of a candidate whos "too radical", but mamdani proves that its precisely what voters want.

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[–] I_Has_A_Hat@lemmy.world 6 points 1 month ago (2 children)

People have been calling me pessimistic for saying the midterms are the Dems election to lose but just... For fuck sakes have you all not been paying attention for the last decade?! Like seriously, you people trust the Democrats to run good campaigns? Have you not seen how Republicans have been putting their thumb on the scale every possible chance they get? How many times do you have to go up against a stacked deck before you learn the game is rigged?

If a race is less than +5 in favor of the Dem, it's a loss. If a race is less than +15 in favor of the Dem, it's a toss up. Lots of people taking it as a given that the Dems will take back the House (some dumbasses are even entertaining the idea that they'll magically take the Senate, lol), but it's very much an uphill battle. How the fuck does no one else see this?

[–] crusa187@lemmy.ml 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

Almost every election is the Dems’ to lose. Unfortunately they tend to deliver.

Dems need to lead with bold, sincere policy proposals to meaningfully improve Americans’ living conditions in order to win. We have many young socialists winning primaries and elections with such a strategy, however the establishment dinosaurs are terrified to deliver for their constituents instead of their donors.

If the old guard refuse to get out of the way, and once again return to the familiar identity politics and pro-corporate talking points, they will once again manage to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

[–] Asafum@lemmy.world 1 points 1 month ago

If the old guard refuse to get out of the way, and once again return to the familiar identity politics and pro-corporate talking points, they will once again manage to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

That's still a win for them. For like 90% of our "representatives" they're only Democrats by necessity. The area they live in won't choose a Republican or the Republican role is already taken by a different parasite, so if they want to continue the game of being a political parasite they need to pretend to give a shit about what people want who vote for them. Corpos win, Republicans win, their investments win, so they couldn't possibly care less.

[–] Z745812939054@lemmy.zip 2 points 1 month ago

trump would have handily won 2020 if his catastrophic and completely expected bungled response to covid weren't fresh on everyone's minds. as it was, he barely lost that one too

[–] switcheroo@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

"You can't afford groceries or gas, you're losing your health insurance, you might get laid off, data centers are fucking up your water, and we're actively ruining the environment, we vehemently protect rapists, and do treason out in the open--- but yeah at least we're not Democrats! What with their socialism or communism... Whatever the current boogie man term is for scaring the dim witted..."

[–] resipsaloquitur@lemmy.cafe 5 points 4 weeks ago (2 children)

Voters have to hate the Dems more than they hate us. And we have material to work with.

After “they’re eating the dogs” what’s left?

[–] tacoplease@lemmy.world 5 points 4 weeks ago* (last edited 4 weeks ago)

After Trump & Accomplices has raised food prices 33%, dogs starting to look like good eating.

Massage this message against the GOP.

"Because of Trump, you can't have steak cause it's too expensive."

"Your taxes are paying for Trump and Hegseth to eat steak and lobster while you eat rice and beans."

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[–] CharlesDarwin@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago

I think the wedge issue they will keep hammering on is trans. Probably why Pedolf Shitler went on about the Bud Light thing from 3 years ago and why he blathers on with complete nonsense like "trans for everyone" or whatever.

[–] Tempus_Fugit@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago (1 children)

I'll vote for anyone that isn't in the pocket of the billionaire class, isn't a Zionist, and is genuinely for the working class. If you don't fit this criteria, kick rocks.

[–] Lushed_Lungfish@lemmy.ca 1 points 1 month ago

I hope you folks can find one.

[–] artyom@piefed.social 3 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

"Voters have to hate the Dems more than they hate us. And we have material to work with."

Yeah that's working real well in Texas

Paxton: Talarico is a vegan!

Talarico: Paxton is a bad Christian and a literal criminal.

[–] dreamkeeper@literature.cafe 2 points 4 weeks ago (1 children)

Good fucking luck with that GOP. Stupid and desperate strategy. It's a lot harder to make people hate the opposition party, especially when you have a geriatric loudmouth pedophile as your front man.

And it's even harder in a midterm when you're missing your precious Emmanuel Goldstein figure like a Harris or Obama to hate on.

[–] Professorozone@lemmy.world 1 points 4 weeks ago

It's the only play they know.

[–] BarneyPiccolo@lemmy.today 2 points 4 weeks ago

A reminder: MAGA talks a good game, but they are virtuosically incompetent, and are ALWAYS bluffing, and fuck up literally EVERYTHING they touch.

It's far more likely that all the derision they are planning on heaping on Dem candidates' policy proposals, like healthcare, college, day care, reforms, etc., will actually create increased interest in those policies. All that money they have, and they'll end up using most of it to promote DemSoc policies and candidates.

We know MAGA well by now, and whenever they think they are going to intimidate us into obeying, it backfires badly, and causes their own humiliation.

So bring it on MAGA, this should be hilarious.

[–] Polyphilic@lemmy.ca 2 points 4 weeks ago

Approval rate is below 30%, unless the strategy is walk away from iran, theyre hooped.

[–] BillCheddar@lemmy.world 2 points 4 weeks ago

The problem for the GOP is that (a) they are already doing that and (b) it's a losing strategy, because the public hates Trump and MAGA more than they hate anyone else.

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