UK Politics

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This Bombshell Polling Changes Everything For Labour [Non-clickbait title: analysing voter flows from 2024 to 2026 elections] (youtube.com)

submitted 2 weeks ago by ladel@feddit.uk to c/uk_politics@feddit.uk

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[–] wewbull@feddit.uk 2 points 2 weeks ago (1 children)

There's some interesting points in the survey:

ex-Tory voters are feeding reform. Labour is not.
ex-Labour voters are feeding Greens and LibDems.
It's the left of the Labour party leaving (obviously).
Once people go Reform, they stay there.
Immigration is a non issue for Labour/LD/Green. It won't pull people back to Labour.
The anti-Semitism accusations have stuck to the greens, but not really amongst labour voters. It's stuck more with right wing parties who weren't voting green anyway.
50% of labour "defectors" are open to returning for a GE
More people are "open" to voting Green (33%) than any other party in a GE. Ref: 29% Lab: 28% LD 28% Con: 27%
The biggest reasons not to is that they fear it splits the vote, and they don't believe greens can win. Then a step down to "policies are naive, can't be done".

A change in voting system to PR seems to be the best way to defend against Reform. If the greens can convince more people of their credibility on policy and ability to win elections, they could become very strong.

[–] echodot@feddit.uk 1 points 2 weeks ago

Immigration is a non issue for Labour/LD/Green. It won't pull people back to Labour.

The anti-Semitism accusations have stuck to the greens, but not really amongst labour voters. It's stuck more with right wing parties who weren't voting green anyway.

Honestly I think these two things are the biggest takeaways that Labour need to get a grip on.

They need to shut up about "small boats", they are not going to win reform voters over (a fact that should be obvious to a concussed duckling), and their own voters aren't interested. They also need to stop fawning all over Israel, it's a bad look and comes from a position of overcompensation, and it turns out they don't need to compensate at all, because again, their potential voters don't care.
I really thought that a former lawyer would be smart enough to not play the opposition's games.