this post was submitted on 19 Mar 2026
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cross-posted from: https://hexbear.net/post/7996191

Compared with the 14th Five-Year Plan, which focused on accelerating wind and solar deployment alongside large utility-scale bases supported by storage and long-distance transmission, the new plan shifts emphasis toward energy substitution and system value. It states that incremental electricity demand should be met by incremental clean power generation, while fossil fuel consumption is to peak during the period. This marks a change in policy language: renewables are no longer treated primarily as additional capacity, but increasingly as the foundation of future economic growth.

The plan’s concept of a “new energy system” gives this shift more practical definition. It links renewable expansion not only to wind and solar, but also to hydropower, offshore wind, nuclear, pumped hydro storage, interprovincial power exchanges, and new transmission corridors. These include routes from major clean energy bases in Inner Mongolia, Gansu, Qinghai, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Tibet, and eastern coastal regions.

State media summaries indicate that by 2030, non-fossil energy is expected to account for about 25% of total energy consumption, while west-to-east transmission capacity is set to exceed 420 GW.

This broader system framing reflects the scale already reached by China’s renewable buildout, where grid integration, balancing resources, and coordination with demand centers are increasingly critical. The plan also points to closer alignment between clean power supply and demand, including electrified transport, green-fuel shipping, zero-carbon industrial parks, and the relocation of energy-intensive industries toward regions with abundant renewable resources.

In this context, renewable energy policy is positioned as part of a wider industrial and regional development strategy, rather than solely a decarbonization pathway.

The plan aligns with recent signals from China’s energy authorities on longer-term deployment. The National Energy Administration reported that cumulative wind and solar capacity surpassed 1.8 TW by the end of 2025, and has indicated a target of more than 3.6 TW by 2035, implying a doubling over the next decade.

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