this post was submitted on 15 Mar 2026
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An eerie quiet hangs over Ras Al Khaimah’s industrial port. Usually a thriving maritime hub of the United Arab Emirates, now ships stand docked and silent. Not far out along the hazy horizon, a backlog of hundreds of tankers have lined up in recent days, halted along a waterway flooded with danger.

Any vessel heading past Ras Al Khaimah out to the Arabian Sea must traverse the world’s most treacherous strip of water for shipping today: the strait of Hormuz. Just over 20 nautical miles from Ras Al Khaimah, two oil tankers heading for the strait were attacked by Iranian missiles this week, one catching fire.

It is one of the many consequences facing Gulf states as they are pulled deeper into a war that they did not start and had diplomatically tried to prevent.

For decades, Bahrain, Kuwait, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, Qatar and Oman have allowed US military bases, infrastructure or access on their soil, and have been among the largest buyers of American weapons and technology. In return, the US has stood as the Gulf’s closest and most significant military partner and protector.

But now, Gulf states have growing concerns over the relationship, analysts say, after Donald Trump was seen to wilfully torpedo peaceful diplomatic negotiations in favour of starting a war in the Middle East.

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[–] Bonifratz@piefed.zip 7 points 1 month ago (6 children)

I think Trump's best course of action is to take the loss, pull out and try to sell it as a "mission accomplished" at home, which might just work for the redhats.

Then he still has to hope that the mullahs take the win and leave it at that, not trying to avenge the old Khameini any further.

And he still has to hope that he hasn't permanently damaged the alliances with the Gulf states.

And he still has to hope that the economic chaos he's started doesn't escalate and it doesn't take too long to return to normal.

Etc.

I.e. the US is very likely fucked in the long term. But all other options seem even worse.

[–] phutatorius@lemmy.zip 4 points 1 month ago

And he still has to hope that he hasn’t permanently damaged the alliances with the Gulf states.

And he still has to hope that the economic chaos he’s started doesn’t escalate and it doesn’t take too long to return to normal.

Unless those were his marching orders in the first place. Trump is a chaos agent, and he uses the disorder he causes to commit more acts of corruption and more power grabs. Every self-created crisis is a pretext to commit the next crime.

[–] baller_w@lemmy.zip 3 points 1 month ago

Yeah, taking the L would be best for everyone in the short term, but the Iranians must seek nuclear arms now, at any cost, because it’s the only thing that makes other countries take each other seriously so it seems. So the options of the US all suck:

  1. Allow Iran to gain nuclear capability, and deal with the consequences (which I think may include a nuclear detonation on US soil). Israel and the US won’t let that happen.
  2. Invade, get all fissile material out of Iran, and engage in nation building activities (again) which has never ended badly /s. I think this is the most likely option.
  3. Declare victory and leave Israel to do their worst.

I really don’t see any other option here. The market will tank, energy prices go trough the roof, we hit another depression, and everyone the world over feels the pain. 30% of Americans will still back this play because of “freedom” or because “Kamala would have done the same thing” (I disagree, but guess who did do this? NOT KAMALA).

This die was cast when Trump tore up the nuclear deal which met be the biggest strategic blunder since Bush The Lesser invaded Iraq for no reason other than to “get even”.

My entire life we’ve been at war and I can’t believe we’re here again…

[–] Wakmrow@lemmy.world 3 points 1 month ago

It isn't revenge for khameini.

The Iranians have tried to negotiate in good faith for decades. Now they need to inflict as much pain and violence on the global economy so people know not to fuck with them any more. The only reason to come to the table for them is if they think they can't maintain drone/missile launches.

[–] HugeNerd@lemmy.ca 2 points 1 month ago

Hmm. Maybe he can put a tariff on Iran? Or maybe build a wall around it?

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[–] herseycokguzelolacak@lemmy.ml 6 points 1 month ago

MBS and other Gulf dictators were begging Trump and Israel to attack Iran. They are now being served a good example of FAFO. In particular, I hope MBS and MBZ go down in flames. They are the worst of this inhuman scum.

[–] SapphironZA@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 month ago (12 children)

As a thought exercise, I was considering what the other countries in the middle east could have done to avoid this conflict.

I ended up with nothing reliable. They did not have sufficient power to address the problems in the Iranian regime. And even if they could, the US would likely just be attacking the next state on Israel's hit list and cause similar problems.

The only thing that might have gotten close, is to outspend the Zionists in their interference in US politics.

[–] MrNesser@lemmy.world 6 points 1 month ago* (last edited 1 month ago)

If your running that thought experiment it's not just the Arab states funding trump and America.

Those same states could also have curtailed Iran's influence in the region as well including removing funding for the various military and terrorist groups they all have a hand in.

Frankly they have raked in the money while others suffer and now they are suffering because of it.

Meanwhile the orange toad is using the money they gave him to further his own agenda and using their countries as pawns.

[–] NannerBanner@literature.cafe 4 points 1 month ago

As a thought experiment, what do you think would have happened if they wound down their involvement with the u.s., and actually tried to come to their own arrangement with Iran? Maybe a united front of the OPEC countries would have been enough to give the middle finger to any country that supplied Israel with weapons...

Get in bed with china, make their own deals with African nations and india to get industrial capabilities up and running, and we'd see a very large and sudden swelling of the global south.

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[–] scarabic@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago

The beatings will continue until America is great again. Apparently the strategy is to lower the bar on what “great” means by dragging the entire rest of then world down.

[–] mlg@lemmy.world 5 points 1 month ago

KSA: "Yeah I defnitley didn't do nothing just like Israel over there. I don't even know what an Iran is"

[–] BeMoreCareful@lemmy.world 4 points 1 month ago

They should start adding convenience fees to US oil.

The US is absolutely defenseless against hidden fees and surcharges.

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