this post was submitted on 14 Aug 2025
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For Xi, the Trump-Putin summit comes as Beijing and Washington are working to improve their own relationship, extending a 90-day negotiating window late on August 11 to reach a trade deal and reportedly preparingfor a high-profile summit between Xi and Trump in October that could potentially set the stage for an even broader agreement between China and the United States.

China has emerged as Russia's strongest partner since Moscow's full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022, boosting its economy with oil purchases, supplying its war-machine with dual-use products, and providing diplomatic backing on the world stage. And as Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi told EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas in July, Beijing can't accept Russia's defeat in Ukraine.

A summit between the US and Russian presidents with Ukrainian and European leaders absent after is validation in Beijing that its strategy and patience could pay off, Singleton says.

"Alaska isn't about maps; it's about precedents," he said. "If aggression pays in Europe, deterrence discounts in Asia."

Kyiv and its supporters are worried Putin could use the meeting to push Trump toward supporting a deal that's advantageous to Russia.

Several other moves in recent months have also been interpreted by China observers as conciliatory toward Beijing, including blocking the Taiwanese president's plans to transit through the United States on the way to a diplomatic tour of South America and canceling a meeting between US officials and Taiwan's defense minister in June.

"If Washington is perceived as 'selling out' Ukraine, Beijing will learn a simple lesson: Coercion pays and costs are containable," Singleton said.

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[–] Rentlar@lemmy.ca 3 points 15 hours ago

China will see if it can get some freebie American island territories from Trump if they try occupying Taiwan.

[–] AcidiclyBasicGlitch@sh.itjust.works 13 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

"My hazy crystal ball suggests that Trump will announce a new ‘great partnership' aimed at shifting the tone and character of the US-China relationship in a more positive direction," Graham Allison, a professor and China scholar at Harvard, wrote in an August 11 post on X.

Trump administration: China is our greatest threat and the AI race will determine the future. You must be willing to hand over your civil liberty today for your safety tomorrow. We need to be more like China, so we can catch up with China, or risk being subservient to China.

Also the Trump administration: That was yesterday. China is our new best fren... We're still doing away with civil liberties though.

[–] marsza@lemmy.cafe 4 points 19 hours ago

Next week: we have more freedom and civil liberties than China! Ukraine is our best friend. But Israel are good people.