this post was submitted on 29 Apr 2025
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1:20 AM EST

210/266 polls reporting

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal | 27,220 | 50.4 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative | 24,927 | 46.1|

top 43 comments
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[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 25 points 21 hours ago (2 children)

CBC News is officially projecting that Bruce Fanjoy has won the riding of Carleton.

4:50 AM EST 264/266 polls reporting (99%)

Name Party Votes %
Bruce Fanjoy Liberal 42,374 50.6
Pierre Poilievre Conservative 38,581 46.1

Poilievre trails by 3793 votes.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 6 points 18 hours ago

You got to call it, nice! I definitely wouldn't have made it to 4:50 AM, so sleeping was a good plan for me.

[–] JohnnyCanuck@lemmy.ca 4 points 20 hours ago
[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 18 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

3:00 AM EST 253/266 polls reporting (95%)

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |38,219 |50.0 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |35,640 |46.6 |

Poilievre trails by 2579 votes.

Oh well, I'm tapping out. Damn. I hoped it would be official before I went to sleep, but the final few polls are just trickling in. But, I'm going to bed happy, so there's that.

[–] Grant_M@lemmy.ca 8 points 23 hours ago* (last edited 23 hours ago)

Great job! Sweet dreams :D

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 24 points 1 day ago (2 children)

This result is so close that it's entirely possible that Trump's "Truth" this morning with his 51st state threat resulted in PP losing his seat.

[–] ninthant@lemmy.ca 19 points 1 day ago

Given how the CPC turnout was well above expected nationally, it seems more likely this was a result of the hard work Fanjoy’ team put in there and PP’s natural anti-charisma.

[–] MacroCyclo@lemmy.ca 10 points 21 hours ago (1 children)

Took me a while ro figure out what you meant by a "Truth". I'm only just figuring out what "Xcreting" is.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 3 points 18 hours ago (1 children)

As a Lemmy user, you're probably aware of Mastodon. And, last I heard, "Truth Social" is just running a hacked-up version of Mastodon, but without the federation. So, they really could be called "toots"...

[–] MacroCyclo@lemmy.ca 4 points 17 hours ago* (last edited 17 hours ago) (1 children)

Oh interesting. I suppose anyone could spin up an unfederated Mastodon server.

Wait, did we come all the way here just to return to forums? Even I had my own forum back in the 2000s

[–] walktheplank@lemmy.world 3 points 16 hours ago

Old guy here.

Yes. Yes we did.

[–] Salvo@aussie.zone 12 points 1 day ago (3 children)

We can only hope that the same thing happens to Dutton on Saturday.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 13 points 1 day ago (1 children)

See if you can provoke Trump into "Truthing" about making Australia the 52nd state. It did wonders for the left-leaning Liberals in Canada. Your Liberals are right-wing, but they're slɐɹǝqᴉΛ₯ so I don't know if that makes things work the opposite way or not.

[–] Salvo@aussie.zone 2 points 1 day ago

I was thinking about that, but that would require Me getting back on Twitter and riling the Orange Clown up about his Australian puppets.

I’m not willing to jump on that grenade because I no longe have a Twitter account and I don’t want anything to do with him.

[–] Lodespawn@aussie.zone 2 points 19 hours ago

It was bliss when it happened to Howard in 2007

[–] veroxii@aussie.zone 3 points 23 hours ago

That would be so sweet. I remember last election it was pretty close for his seat but he hung on.

[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 9 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

Gonna try to pick up where merc left off, thanks for the work. Never used this much Markdown before, so cross your fingers.

3:10 AM EST 255/266 polls reporting (96%)

Name Party Votes %
Bruce Fanjoy Liberal 40,381 50.2
Pierre Poilievre Conservative 37,319 46.4

Poilievre trails by 3062 votes.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 2 points 18 hours ago (1 children)
[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 2 points 17 hours ago (1 children)

Thanks, glad you didn't mind the thread hijack!

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 2 points 17 hours ago

No, awesome job!

[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 7 points 22 hours ago

Long wait for this report!

4:20 AM EST 257/266 polls reporting (97%)

Name Party Votes %
Bruce Fanjoy Liberal 41,706 50.6
Pierre Poilievre Conservative 38,057 46.1

Poilievre trails by 3649 votes.

[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 7 points 23 hours ago

3:20 AM EST 256/266 polls reporting (96%)

Name Party Votes %
Bruce Fanjoy Liberal 40,501 50.2
Pierre Poilievre Conservative 37,425 46.4

Poilievre trails by 3076 votes.

[–] BlameThePeacock@lemmy.ca 8 points 1 day ago (4 children)

Will the Conservatives force someone to resign just to give him a seat?

Probably, that's pretty on-brand

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 13 points 1 day ago (2 children)

Seems likely, but he's pretty weak now. I assume the knives are going to be out.

[–] fourish@lemmy.world 7 points 23 hours ago

Yup, even more on brand.

They eat their wounded.

[–] GrizzlyBur@lemmy.ca 5 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

Jagmeet is already, gone, I think PP isn't long for politics going forward. I think this is great, we need fresh blood and I hope CONs realize their strats aren't gonna cut it.

I don't want the CONs gone from Canada, I want them to reform into a party worthy of respect -- just differing in opinion of how to progress Canada forward.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 6 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

I'd love that. I don't like a lot of the laws the Liberals have passed, especially the misguided way they tried to tax Facebook and Google to promote Canadian news. It would be great if there were a sane alternative party that actually had ideas for how to do things differently. The current conservatives are focused on culture war BS, lowering taxes while handing more money to corporations, and if Harper's reign was any guide, muzzling scientists and giving away rights Canadians enjoy.

[–] GrizzlyBur@lemmy.ca 1 points 22 hours ago

My entire region, the CONs sweeped it. Rough! I'm glad federally the Libs won though. I just made a detailed post about it in my regions lemmy community.

I really hope the CONs that just won and keep their seats are able to go up to bat to defend Windsor from the worst effects of the Trump Tariffs. This region stands to be the most afflicted.

[–] MacroCyclo@lemmy.ca 2 points 21 hours ago

What a mistake that would be for them.

[–] Sunshine@lemmy.ca 3 points 1 day ago* (last edited 1 day ago)

He’s gonna force himself through the gate to parliament once again.

It's going to be the seat from thr 25yo that the Cons stole from their experienced incumbent.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 day ago

2:12 AM EST 238/266 polls reporting

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |30,851 |49.6 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |29,182 |46.9 |

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 6 points 1 day ago

1:30 AM EST 215/266 polls reporting

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |27,638 |50.3 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |25,402 |46.2 |

[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 3 points 21 hours ago

4:40 AM EST 260/266 polls reporting (98%)

Name Party Votes %
Bruce Fanjoy Liberal 41,998 50.6
Pierre Poilievre Conservative 38,303 46.1

Poilievre trails by 3695 votes.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 4 points 23 hours ago

2:50 AM EST 251/266 polls reporting (94%)

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |36,081 |49.8 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |33,888 |46.8 |

Poilievre trails by 2193 votes.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 4 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

2:40 AM EST 249/266 polls reporting (94%)

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |34,242 |50.1 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |31,741 |46.5 |

Poilievre trails by 2501 votes.

[–] vaguerant@fedia.io 5 points 23 hours ago (1 children)

And boom goes the dynamite.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 5 points 23 hours ago

Yeah, back up above 50%. Any remaining polls would have to be massively out of whack with what we've seen so far to change anything.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 day ago

1:50 AM EST 230/266 polls reporting

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |29,242 |49.9 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |27,354 |46.6 |

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 4 points 1 day ago

1:40 AM EST 220/266 polls reporting

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |27,920 |50.1 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |25,845 |46.4 |

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 day ago (1 children)

2:20 AM EST 242/266 polls reporting (91%)

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |31,110 |49.6 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |29,437 |46.9 |

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 4 points 23 hours ago

2:30 AM EST 247/266 polls reporting (93%)

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |31,687 |49.6 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |29,885 |46.9 |

Poilievre trails by 1802 votes.

[–] merc@sh.itjust.works 3 points 1 day ago

2:00 AM EST 235/266 polls reporting

| Name | Party | Votes | % | |


|


|


|


| | Bruce Fanjoy | Liberal |30,185 |49.6 | | Pierre Poilievre | Conservative |28,542 |46.9 |